RC Catarroja 0–0 Ontinyent 1931: Result & Stats

RC Catarroja

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Ontinyent 1931

9/14/2025

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · Group 6 - 2Estadio Mundial 82

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 51+ matches

RC Catarroja37%

×Draw30%

Ontinyent 193134%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

RC CatarrojaExpected goals in this matchOntinyent 1931

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.10

1.04

RC Catarroja

1.10

Ontinyent 1931

1.04

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 62 home / 51 away

0.98

creates per match

0.98

1.10

allows per match

1.22

creates per match

RC Catarroja

0.98

Ontinyent 1931

0.98

allows per match

RC Catarroja

1.10

Ontinyent 1931

1.22

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

RC Catarroja+0.00on par

Ontinyent 1931+0.00on par

Total goals

Under64
Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No57
Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

RC Catarroja ↓

Ontinyent 1931 →

0–012%

0–112%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1–013%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2–07%

2–17%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3–03%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

63%37%2.5

36%64%3.5

17%83%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

RC Catarroja or draw

66%

RC Catarroja or Ontinyent 1931

70%

Draw or Ontinyent 1931

63%

Winning margin

RC Catarroja wins by 2+

15%

Ontinyent 1931 wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

RC Catarroja 1+ goals

67%

RC Catarroja 2+ goals

30%

RC Catarroja 3+ goals

10%

Ontinyent 1931 1+ goals

65%

Ontinyent 1931 2+ goals

28%

Ontinyent 1931 3+ goals

Draw no bet

RC Catarroja (draw refunded)

52%

Ontinyent 1931 (draw refunded)

48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

30%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

RC Catarroja at home — creates 0.98, concedes 1.10 · 62 matches

Ontinyent 1931 away — creates 0.98, concedes 1.22 · 51 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

RC Catarroja attack 0.98 + Ontinyent 1931 defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.10

Ontinyent 1931 attack 0.98 + RC Catarroja defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 37%?"

RC Catarroja scores more

37%

level

30%

Ontinyent 1931 scores more

34%

RC Catarroja at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "RC Catarroja will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6: RC Catarroja 0–0 Ontinyent 1931

RC Catarroja and Ontinyent 1931 drew 0-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 on September 14, 2025.

The match was played at Estadio Mundial 82 in Catarroja.

RC Catarroja vs Ontinyent 1931 — Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6: RC Catarroja 0–0 Ontinyent 1931