Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 21+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
71%
Over
29%
Under
Both Score
70%
Yes
30%
No
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
xG Profile (21 home / 22 away matches)
RB Leipzig
xG 2.27 · xGA 1.56
-0.08 vs xG
FSV Mainz 05
xG 1.6 · xGA 1.95
-0.05 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga 2026
Bundesliga·2026📍Red Bull Arena- Date
- Mar 1, 2025, 2:30 PM
- Tournament
- Bundesliga · Bundesliga · Regular Season - 24
- Referee
- D. Siebert
- Venue
- Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
RB Leipzig
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.55362%
- Under 2.53338%
Both teams scored
- Yes4856%
- No3844%
FSV Mainz 05
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53049%
- Under 2.53151%
Both teams scored
- Yes3557%
- No2643%
Player of the match
Match Events
RB Leipzig substitutes
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
1899 Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
FC Schalke 04
SV Elversberg
SC Paderborn 07If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
RB Leipzig host FSV Mainz 05 on Saturday, 1 March 2025 at 14:30. The match is part of the Bundesliga 2026/2027 season.
RB Leipzig 1 – 2 FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 beat RB Leipzig 2-1 in Bundesliga on March 1, 2025.
Goals: X. Simons (1'), N. Amiri (52'), J. Burkardt (58').
FSV Mainz 05 controlled possession (51%) and registered 15 shots to 13.
The match was played at Red Bull Arena in Leipzig.