Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 17+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
77%
Over
23%
Under
Both Score
75%
Yes
25%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-2
8%
2-2
7%
1-1
7%
xG Profile (17 home / 17 away matches)
RB Leipzig
xG 2.38 · xGA 1.53
-0.03 vs xG
Bayern München
xG 2.76 · xGA 1.4
+0.42 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Jan 17, 2026, 5:30 PM
- Tournament
- Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18
- Referee
- Sascha Stegemann (Germany)
- Venue
- Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
RB Leipzig
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52569%
- Under 2.51131%
Both teams scored
- Yes2261%
- No1439%
Bayern München
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.54988%
- Under 2.5713%
Both teams scored
- Yes3868%
- No1832%
Match Events
RB Leipzig substitutes
Head to Head
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
1899 Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
SC Paderborn 07If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
RB Leipzig host Bayern München on Saturday, 17 January 2026 at 17:30. The match is part of the Bundesliga 2026/2027 season.
RB Leipzig 1 – 5 Bayern München
Bayern München beat RB Leipzig 5-1 in Bundesliga on January 17, 2026.
Goals: Romulo Cardoso (20'), S. Gnabry (50'), H. Kane (67'), J. Tah (82'), A. Pavlovic (85'), M. Olise (88').
Bayern München controlled possession (58%) and registered 19 shots to 17.
The match was played at Red Bull Arena in Leipzig.