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RB Bragantino U17 vs Flamengo RJ U17 — Brasileiro U17 2026

RB Bragantino U17
RB Bragantino U17
FT
0 – 3
HT: 0 – 1
Flamengo RJ U17
Flamengo RJ U17
J. Vitor 76'
Ryan Roberto 52' (pen), 45' (pen)
6/18/2025Brasileiro U17Brasileiro U17 · 1st Phase - 6Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

RB Bragantino U1739%
×Draw24%
Flamengo RJ U1737%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

RB Bragantino U17
1.61
Flamengo RJ U17
1.56

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 18 home / 18 away

creates per match

RB Bragantino U17
1.78
Flamengo RJ U17
1.56

allows per match

RB Bragantino U17
1.56
Flamengo RJ U17
1.44

finishing

RB Bragantino U17+0.00on par
Flamengo RJ U17+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 61Under: 3961%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 63No: 3763%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

RB Bragantino U17 ↓

Flamengo RJ U17 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

RB Bragantino U17 or draw
63%
RB Bragantino U17 or Flamengo RJ U17
76%
Draw or Flamengo RJ U17
61%

Winning margin

RB Bragantino U17 wins by 2+
20%
Flamengo RJ U17 wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

RB Bragantino U17 1+ goals
80%
RB Bragantino U17 2+ goals
48%
RB Bragantino U17 3+ goals
22%
Flamengo RJ U17 1+ goals
79%
Flamengo RJ U17 2+ goals
46%
Flamengo RJ U17 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

RB Bragantino U17 (draw refunded)
51%
Flamengo RJ U17 (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

RB Bragantino U17 at home — creates 1.78, concedes 1.56 · 18 matches

Flamengo RJ U17 away — creates 1.56, concedes 1.44 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

RB Bragantino U17 attack 1.78 + Flamengo RJ U17 defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.61

Flamengo RJ U17 attack 1.56 + RB Bragantino U17 defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

RB Bragantino U17 scores more
39%
level
24%
Flamengo RJ U17 scores more
37%

RB Bragantino U17 at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "RB Bragantino U17 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

45'
Ryan RobertoPenalty
52'
Ryan RobertoPenalty
76'
J. Vitor

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Brasileiro U17: RB Bragantino U17 0–3 Flamengo RJ U17

Flamengo RJ U17 beat RB Bragantino U17 3-0 in Brasileiro U17 on June 18, 2025.

Goals: Ryan Roberto (45' pen, 52' pen), J. Vitor (76').

The match was played at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid in Bragança Paulista, São Paulo.