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Rapperswil Jona W vs Young Boys W — AXA Women’s Super League 2020

Rapperswil Jona W
Rapperswil Jona W
FT
0 – 3
HT: 0 – 2
Young Boys W
Young Boys W
9/24/2025AXA Women’s Super LeagueAXA Women’s Super League · Round 5Sportstadion Grünfeld

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 41+ matches

Rapperswil Jona W25%
×Draw21%
Young Boys W54%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rapperswil Jona W
1.40
Young Boys W
2.14

Young Boys W creates 53% more chances

Season form · 41 home / 57 away

creates per match

Rapperswil Jona W
1.07
Young Boys W
1.86

allows per match

Rapperswil Jona W
2.41
Young Boys W
1.72

finishing

Rapperswil Jona W+0.00on par
Young Boys W+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rapperswil Jona W ↓

Young Boys W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–27%
0–35%
0–43%
1
1–04%
1–19%
1–29%
1–37%
1–44%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
68%32%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Rapperswil Jona W or draw
46%
Rapperswil Jona W or Young Boys W
79%
Draw or Young Boys W
75%

Winning margin

Rapperswil Jona W wins by 2+
11%
Young Boys W wins by 2+
33%

Team goals

Rapperswil Jona W 1+ goals
75%
Rapperswil Jona W 2+ goals
41%
Rapperswil Jona W 3+ goals
17%
Young Boys W 1+ goals
88%
Young Boys W 2+ goals
63%
Young Boys W 3+ goals
36%

Draw no bet

Rapperswil Jona W (draw refunded)
32%
Young Boys W (draw refunded)
68%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rapperswil Jona W at home — creates 1.07, concedes 2.41 · 41 matches

Young Boys W away — creates 1.86, concedes 1.72 · 57 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rapperswil Jona W attack 1.07 + Young Boys W defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 1.40

Young Boys W attack 1.86 + Rapperswil Jona W defence 2.41 → ÷2 → 2.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Rapperswil Jona W scores more
25%
level
21%
Young Boys W scores more
54%

Young Boys W at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Young Boys W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

AXA Women’s Super League: Rapperswil Jona W 0–3 Young Boys W

Young Boys W beat Rapperswil Jona W 3-0 in AXA Women’s Super League on September 24, 2025.

The match was played at Sportstadion Grünfeld in Rapperswil-Jona.