Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Rapperswil Jona W vs Servette Chênois W — AXA Women’s Super League 2020

Rapperswil Jona W
Rapperswil Jona W
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Servette Chênois W
Servette Chênois W
8/17/2024AXA Women’s Super LeagueAXA Women’s Super League · Round 2Sportstadion Grünfeld

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 41+ matches

Rapperswil Jona W12%
×Draw17%
Servette Chênois W71%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rapperswil Jona W
0.82
Servette Chênois W
2.33

Servette Chênois W creates 184% more chances

Season form · 41 home / 70 away

creates per match

Rapperswil Jona W
1.07
Servette Chênois W
2.24

allows per match

Rapperswil Jona W
2.41
Servette Chênois W
0.57

finishing

Rapperswil Jona W+0.00on par
Servette Chênois W+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rapperswil Jona W ↓

Servette Chênois W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–110%
0–212%
0–39%
0–45%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–210%
1–37%
1–44%
2
2–01%
2–13%
2–24%
2–33%
2–42%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (12%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
38%62%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Rapperswil Jona W or draw
29%
Rapperswil Jona W or Servette Chênois W
83%
Draw or Servette Chênois W
88%

Winning margin

Rapperswil Jona W wins by 2+
3%
Servette Chênois W wins by 2+
48%

Team goals

Rapperswil Jona W 1+ goals
56%
Rapperswil Jona W 2+ goals
20%
Rapperswil Jona W 3+ goals
5%
Servette Chênois W 1+ goals
90%
Servette Chênois W 2+ goals
67%
Servette Chênois W 3+ goals
41%

Draw no bet

Rapperswil Jona W (draw refunded)
14%
Servette Chênois W (draw refunded)
86%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rapperswil Jona W at home — creates 1.07, concedes 2.41 · 41 matches

Servette Chênois W away — creates 2.24, concedes 0.57 · 70 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rapperswil Jona W attack 1.07 + Servette Chênois W defence 0.57 → ÷2 → 0.82

Servette Chênois W attack 2.24 + Rapperswil Jona W defence 2.41 → ÷2 → 2.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 71%?"

Rapperswil Jona W scores more
12%
level
17%
Servette Chênois W scores more
71%

Servette Chênois W at 71% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 71% does not mean "Servette Chênois W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Rapperswil Jona W vs Servette Chênois W

Servette Chênois W beat Rapperswil Jona W 2-0 in AXA Women’s Super League on August 17, 2024.

The match was played at Sportstadion Grünfeld in Jona.