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Rapperswil Jona W vs Grasshopper W — AXA Women’s Super League 2020

Rapperswil Jona W
Rapperswil Jona W
FT
0 – 6
HT: 0 – 4
Grasshopper W
Grasshopper W
2/8/2025AXA Women’s Super LeagueAXA Women’s Super League · Round 14Sportstadion Grünfeld

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 41+ matches

Rapperswil Jona W21%
×Draw19%
Grasshopper W60%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rapperswil Jona W
1.35
Grasshopper W
2.38

Grasshopper W creates 76% more chances

Season form · 41 home / 68 away

creates per match

Rapperswil Jona W
1.07
Grasshopper W
2.35

allows per match

Rapperswil Jona W
2.41
Grasshopper W
1.62

finishing

Rapperswil Jona W+0.00on par
Grasshopper W+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rapperswil Jona W ↓

Grasshopper W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–16%
0–27%
0–35%
0–43%
1
1–03%
1–18%
1–29%
1–37%
1–44%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–26%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Rapperswil Jona W or draw
40%
Rapperswil Jona W or Grasshopper W
81%
Draw or Grasshopper W
79%

Winning margin

Rapperswil Jona W wins by 2+
9%
Grasshopper W wins by 2+
38%

Team goals

Rapperswil Jona W 1+ goals
74%
Rapperswil Jona W 2+ goals
39%
Rapperswil Jona W 3+ goals
15%
Grasshopper W 1+ goals
91%
Grasshopper W 2+ goals
68%
Grasshopper W 3+ goals
42%

Draw no bet

Rapperswil Jona W (draw refunded)
26%
Grasshopper W (draw refunded)
74%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rapperswil Jona W at home — creates 1.07, concedes 2.41 · 41 matches

Grasshopper W away — creates 2.35, concedes 1.62 · 68 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rapperswil Jona W attack 1.07 + Grasshopper W defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.35

Grasshopper W attack 2.35 + Rapperswil Jona W defence 2.41 → ÷2 → 2.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Rapperswil Jona W scores more
21%
level
19%
Grasshopper W scores more
60%

Grasshopper W at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Grasshopper W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

AXA Women’s Super League: Rapperswil Jona W 0–6 Grasshopper W

Grasshopper W beat Rapperswil Jona W 6-0 in AXA Women’s Super League on February 8, 2025.

The match was played at Sportstadion Grünfeld in Jona.