Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Räppe vs Osters IF — Svenska Cupen 2019

Räppe
Räppe
FT
1 – 5
HT: 0 – 2
Osters IF
Osters IF
Unknown 57' (OG)
A. Aliev 90'
S. Starke 64'
N. Soderberg 60'
V. Rodic 40'
M. Christensen 9'
9/9/2025Svenska CupenSvenska Cupen · 2nd RoundRäppevallen

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Räppe21%
×Draw20%
Osters IF60%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Räppe
1.29
Osters IF
2.29

Osters IF creates 78% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 14 away

creates per match

Räppe
1.00
Osters IF
1.57

allows per match

Räppe
3.00
Osters IF
1.57

finishing

Räppe+0.00on par
Osters IF+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Räppe ↓

Osters IF →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–27%
0–36%
0–43%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–210%
1–37%
1–44%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–26%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
48%52%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Räppe or draw
40%
Räppe or Osters IF
80%
Draw or Osters IF
79%

Winning margin

Räppe wins by 2+
8%
Osters IF wins by 2+
38%

Team goals

Räppe 1+ goals
72%
Räppe 2+ goals
37%
Räppe 3+ goals
14%
Osters IF 1+ goals
90%
Osters IF 2+ goals
66%
Osters IF 3+ goals
40%

Draw no bet

Räppe (draw refunded)
26%
Osters IF (draw refunded)
74%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Räppe at home — creates 1.00, concedes 3.00 · 4 matches

Osters IF away — creates 1.57, concedes 1.57 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Räppe attack 1.00 + Osters IF defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.29

Osters IF attack 1.57 + Räppe defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Räppe scores more
21%
level
20%
Osters IF scores more
60%

Osters IF at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Osters IF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

9'
M. Christensen
40'
V. Rodic
57'
Own goal
60'
N. Soderberg
64'
S. Starke
67'
C. Kouakou
67'
O. Bolin
90'
A. Aliev
Räppe
Osters
I. Dobrić
Manager: I. Dobrić
Roberth Bjorknesjo
Manager: Roberth Bjorknesjo

Svenska Cupen: Räppe 1–5 Osters IF

Osters IF beat Räppe 5-1 in Svenska Cupen on September 9, 2025.

Goals: M. Christensen (9'), V. Rodic (40'), ? (57' o.g.), N. Soderberg (60'), S. Starke (64'), A. Aliev (90').

The match was played at Räppevallen in Växjö.