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Rapid Wien II vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Rapid Wien II
Rapid Wien II
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
E. Music 73'
O. Strunz 25'
E. Bajrami 85'
1/21/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Rapid Wien II44%
×Draw20%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rapid Wien II
2.26
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
2.02

Rapid Wien II creates 12% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 8 away

creates per match

Rapid Wien II
2.53
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
2.25

allows per match

Rapid Wien II
1.79
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
2.00

finishing

Rapid Wien II+0.00on par
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Over
  • Over80
  • Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

78%Yes
  • Yes78
  • No22

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rapid Wien II ↓

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
80%20%3.5
61%39%4.5
42%58%

Double chance

Rapid Wien II or draw
64%
Rapid Wien II or Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
80%
Draw or Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
56%

Winning margin

Rapid Wien II wins by 2+
26%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Rapid Wien II 1+ goals
89%
Rapid Wien II 2+ goals
66%
Rapid Wien II 3+ goals
39%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 1+ goals
87%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 2+ goals
60%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 3+ goals
33%

Draw no bet

Rapid Wien II (draw refunded)
55%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
71%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rapid Wien II at home — creates 2.53, concedes 1.79 · 19 matches

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf away — creates 2.25, concedes 2.00 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rapid Wien II attack 2.53 + Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.26

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf attack 2.25 + Rapid Wien II defence 1.79 → ÷2 → 2.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Rapid Wien II scores more
44%
level
20%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf scores more
36%

Rapid Wien II at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Rapid Wien II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

25'
O. Strunz
73'
E. Music
85'
E. Bajrami
Rapid
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
Jurgen Kerber
Manager: Jurgen Kerber
C. Knirsch
Manager: C. Knirsch

Friendlies Clubs: Rapid Wien II 2–1 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf

Rapid Wien II beat Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 21, 2026.

Goals: O. Strunz (25'), E. Music (73'), E. Bajrami (85').