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Rapid Wien II vs Admira II — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Rapid Wien II
Rapid Wien II
FT
3 – 2
Admira II
Admira II
6/29/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Trainingsgelände Allianz Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Rapid Wien II48%
×Draw20%
Admira II32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rapid Wien II
2.43
Admira II
1.98

Rapid Wien II creates 23% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 6 away

creates per match

Rapid Wien II
2.53
Admira II
2.17

allows per match

Rapid Wien II
1.79
Admira II
2.33

finishing

Rapid Wien II+0.00on par
Admira II+0.00on par

Total goals

81%Over
  • Over81
  • Under19

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

78%Yes
  • Yes78
  • No22

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rapid Wien II ↓

Admira II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
81%19%3.5
64%36%4.5
44%56%

Double chance

Rapid Wien II or draw
68%
Rapid Wien II or Admira II
80%
Draw or Admira II
52%

Winning margin

Rapid Wien II wins by 2+
29%
Admira II wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Rapid Wien II 1+ goals
91%
Rapid Wien II 2+ goals
69%
Rapid Wien II 3+ goals
43%
Admira II 1+ goals
86%
Admira II 2+ goals
59%
Admira II 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

Rapid Wien II (draw refunded)
60%
Admira II (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
73%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rapid Wien II at home — creates 2.53, concedes 1.79 · 19 matches

Admira II away — creates 2.17, concedes 2.33 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rapid Wien II attack 2.53 + Admira II defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 2.43

Admira II attack 2.17 + Rapid Wien II defence 1.79 → ÷2 → 1.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Rapid Wien II scores more
48%
level
20%
Admira II scores more
32%

Rapid Wien II at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Rapid Wien II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Rapid Wien II 3–2 Admira II

Rapid Wien II beat Admira II 3-2 in Friendlies Clubs on June 29, 2021.

The match was played at Trainingsgelände Allianz Stadion in Wien.