Rapid 1–2 Ulsan Hyundai FC: Result & Stats

Rapid

1 – 2

HT: 1 – 2

Ulsan Hyundai FC

1/14/2025

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Jebel Ali Centre of Excellence

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Rapid34%

×Draw26%

Ulsan Hyundai FC40%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

RapidExpected goals in this matchUlsan Hyundai FC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.31

1.44

Rapid

1.31

Ulsan Hyundai FC

1.44

Ulsan Hyundai FC creates 10% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 3 away

1.30

creates per match

1.67

1.20

allows per match

1.33

creates per match

Rapid

1.30

Ulsan Hyundai FC

1.67

allows per match

Rapid

1.20

Ulsan Hyundai FC

1.33

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Rapid+0.00on par

Ulsan Hyundai FC+0.00on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rapid ↓

Ulsan Hyundai FC →

0–06%

0–19%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1–08%

1–112%

1–29%

1–34%

1–42%

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

30%70%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Rapid or draw

60%

Rapid or Ulsan Hyundai FC

74%

Draw or Ulsan Hyundai FC

66%

Winning margin

Rapid wins by 2+

15%

Ulsan Hyundai FC wins by 2+

19%

Team goals

Rapid 1+ goals

73%

Rapid 2+ goals

38%

Rapid 3+ goals

14%

Ulsan Hyundai FC 1+ goals

76%

Ulsan Hyundai FC 2+ goals

42%

Ulsan Hyundai FC 3+ goals

18%

Draw no bet

Rapid (draw refunded)

46%

Ulsan Hyundai FC (draw refunded)

54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

44%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Rapid at home — creates 1.30, concedes 1.20 · 10 matches

Ulsan Hyundai FC away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Rapid attack 1.30 + Ulsan Hyundai FC defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.31

Ulsan Hyundai FC attack 1.67 + Rapid defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 40%?"

Rapid scores more

34%

level

26%

Ulsan Hyundai FC scores more

40%

Ulsan Hyundai FC at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Ulsan Hyundai FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff