Rapid 2–1 FC Botosani: Result & Stats | Liga I

Rapid

FT

2 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

FC Botosani

A. Baroan 69', 60'

H. Ongenda 84'

8/4/2025

Liga I · Round 4Superbet Arena - Giulesti

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 100+ matches

Rapid49%

×Draw26%

FC Botosani25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

RapidExpected goals in this matchFC Botosani

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.52

1.02

Rapid

1.52

FC Botosani

1.02

Rapid creates 49% more chances

Season form · 100 home / 158 away

1.63

creates per match

1.03

1.00

allows per match

1.42

creates per match

Rapid

1.63

FC Botosani

1.03

allows per match

Rapid

1.00

FC Botosani

1.42

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Rapid+0.00on par

FC Botosani+0.00on par

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No50
Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rapid ↓

FC Botosani →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–18%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

47%53%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Rapid or draw

75%

Rapid or FC Botosani

74%

Draw or FC Botosani

51%

Winning margin

Rapid wins by 2+

25%

FC Botosani wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Rapid 1+ goals

78%

Rapid 2+ goals

45%

Rapid 3+ goals

20%

FC Botosani 1+ goals

64%

FC Botosani 2+ goals

27%

FC Botosani 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Rapid (draw refunded)

66%

FC Botosani (draw refunded)

34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

38%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rapid at home — creates 1.63, concedes 1.00 · 100 matches

FC Botosani away — creates 1.03, concedes 1.42 · 158 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rapid attack 1.63 + FC Botosani defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.52

FC Botosani attack 1.03 + Rapid defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Rapid scores more

49%

level

26%

FC Botosani scores more

25%

Rapid at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Rapid will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

90

A. Baroan

Rapid · F

9.7

Match Events

42'

C. Manea← R. Onea

43'

Jakub Hromada

45+3'

Mihai Bordeianu

46'

A. Baroan← T. Jambor

46'

G. David← M. Bordeianu

56'

Lars Kramer

58'

A. Dumitru← Z. Mitrov

60'

A. Baroan↳ C. Manea

65'

C. Braun← C. Micovschi

65'

R. Pop← A. Borza

69'

A. Baroan↳ R. Pop

70'

H. Ongenda← S. Panoiu

71'

S. Bodisteanu← S. Mailat

84'

L. Gojkovic← J. Hromada

84'

H. Ongenda

87'

M. Kovtalyuk← Aldair

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

RapidFC

Overview

56%Possession44%

11Total Shots14

0.82Expected Goals (xG)0.46

5Corners2

10Fouls13

Shots

11Total Shots14

6On Target2

3Off Target9

2Blocked3

9Inside Box4

2Outside Box10

Passing

56%Possession44%

407Total Passes324

336Accurate Passes257

83%Pass Accuracy79%

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

Discipline

10Fouls13

2Yellow Cards1

1Offsides1