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Rapid vs Farul Constanta — Liga I 2018

Rapid
Rapid
Preview
17:00
Farul Constanta
Farul Constanta
3/13/2027Liga ILiga I · Round 30Superbet Arena - Giulesti
Big match
47%
Rapid
model favours
47%26%27%

Rapid score first in only 18% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
under 2.5 goals
50%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 99+ matches

Rapid47%
×Draw26%
Farul Constanta27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rapid
1.47
Farul Constanta
1.06

Rapid creates 39% more chances

Season form · 100 home / 99 away

creates per match

Rapid
1.63
Farul Constanta
1.12

allows per match

Rapid
1.00
Farul Constanta
1.31

finishing

Rapid+0.00on par
Farul Constanta+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rapid ↓

Farul Constanta →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–18%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Rapid or draw
73%
Rapid or Farul Constanta
74%
Draw or Farul Constanta
53%

Winning margin

Rapid wins by 2+
23%
Farul Constanta wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Rapid 1+ goals
77%
Rapid 2+ goals
43%
Rapid 3+ goals
18%
Farul Constanta 1+ goals
65%
Farul Constanta 2+ goals
29%
Farul Constanta 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Rapid (draw refunded)
63%
Farul Constanta (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rapid at home — creates 1.63, concedes 1.00 · 100 matches

Farul Constanta away — creates 1.12, concedes 1.31 · 99 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rapid attack 1.63 + Farul Constanta defence 1.31 → ÷2 → 1.47

Farul Constanta attack 1.12 + Rapid defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Rapid scores more
47%
level
26%
Farul Constanta scores more
27%

Rapid at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Rapid will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Farul Constanta score first in only 19% of matches
  • Both teams score in 75% of Farul Constanta’s matches
  • Both teams score in 73% of Rapid’s matches
  • Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings
  • Their last 10 meetings averaged 3.9 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Rapid
LDDWD
Constanta
WLLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Rapid face Farul Constanta (Liga I)

Liga I returns with Rapid hosting Farul Constanta. Match starts March 13, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Rapid host Farul Constanta at Superbet Arena - Giulesti.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.