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Rapid Vienna vs Wiener SC — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Rapid Vienna
Rapid Vienna
FT
0 – 4
Wiener SC
Wiener SC
6/22/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Allianz Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Rapid Vienna48%
×Draw20%
Wiener SC32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rapid Vienna
2.38
Wiener SC
1.92

Rapid Vienna creates 24% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 5 away

creates per match

Rapid Vienna
1.95
Wiener SC
2.40

allows per match

Rapid Vienna
1.45
Wiener SC
2.80

finishing

Rapid Vienna+0.00on par
Wiener SC+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Over
  • Over80
  • Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

77%Yes
  • Yes77
  • No23

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rapid Vienna ↓

Wiener SC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
80%20%3.5
62%38%4.5
42%58%

Double chance

Rapid Vienna or draw
68%
Rapid Vienna or Wiener SC
80%
Draw or Wiener SC
52%

Winning margin

Rapid Vienna wins by 2+
29%
Wiener SC wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Rapid Vienna 1+ goals
91%
Rapid Vienna 2+ goals
68%
Rapid Vienna 3+ goals
42%
Wiener SC 1+ goals
85%
Wiener SC 2+ goals
57%
Wiener SC 3+ goals
30%

Draw no bet

Rapid Vienna (draw refunded)
60%
Wiener SC (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
71%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rapid Vienna at home — creates 1.95, concedes 1.45 · 22 matches

Wiener SC away — creates 2.40, concedes 2.80 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rapid Vienna attack 1.95 + Wiener SC defence 2.80 → ÷2 → 2.38

Wiener SC attack 2.40 + Rapid Vienna defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Rapid Vienna scores more
48%
level
20%
Wiener SC scores more
32%

Rapid Vienna at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Rapid Vienna will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Rapid Vienna 0–4 Wiener SC

Wiener SC beat Rapid Vienna 4-0 in Friendlies Clubs on June 22, 2021.

The match was played at Allianz Stadion in Wien.