Rapid Vienna 5–0 SCR Altach: Result & Stats

Rapid Vienna

FT

5 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

SCR Altach

3/1/2025

Bundesliga · Round 20Allianz Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 129+ matches

Rapid Vienna51%

×Draw25%

SCR Altach24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rapid ViennaExpected goals in this matchSCR Altach

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.63

1.05

Rapid Vienna

1.63

SCR Altach

1.05

Rapid Vienna creates 55% more chances

Season form · 133 home / 129 away

1.65

creates per match

0.96

1.14

allows per match

1.60

creates per match

Rapid Vienna

1.65

SCR Altach

0.96

allows per match

Rapid Vienna

1.14

SCR Altach

1.60

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Rapid Vienna+0.00on par

SCR Altach+0.00on par

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rapid Vienna ↓

SCR Altach →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–17%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Rapid Vienna or draw

76%

Rapid Vienna or SCR Altach

75%

Draw or SCR Altach

49%

Winning margin

Rapid Vienna wins by 2+

27%

SCR Altach wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Rapid Vienna 1+ goals

80%

Rapid Vienna 2+ goals

48%

Rapid Vienna 3+ goals

22%

SCR Altach 1+ goals

65%

SCR Altach 2+ goals

28%

SCR Altach 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Rapid Vienna (draw refunded)

68%

SCR Altach (draw refunded)

32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rapid Vienna at home — creates 1.65, concedes 1.14 · 133 matches

SCR Altach away — creates 0.96, concedes 1.60 · 129 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rapid Vienna attack 1.65 + SCR Altach defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.63

SCR Altach attack 0.96 + Rapid Vienna defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.05

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Rapid Vienna scores more

51%

level

25%

SCR Altach scores more

24%

Rapid Vienna at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Rapid Vienna will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff