Scoreo

Rapid Vienna vs Dynamo KyivFriendlies Clubs 2026

6/8/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Trainingsgelände Allianz Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Rapid Vienna41%
×Draw22%
Dynamo Kyiv38%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rapid Vienna
1.89
Dynamo Kyiv
1.81

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 23 home / 13 away

creates per match

Rapid Vienna
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.15

allows per match

Rapid Vienna
1.48
Dynamo Kyiv
1.77

finishing

Rapid Vienna+0.00on par
Dynamo Kyiv+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rapid Vienna

Dynamo Kyiv
0
1
2
3
4
0
002%
015%
024%
032%
041%
1
105%
119%
128%
135%
142%
2
204%
218%
227%
234%
242%
3
303%
315%
325%
333%
341%
4
401%
412%
422%
431%
441%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Rapid Vienna or draw
62%
Rapid Vienna or Dynamo Kyiv
78%
Draw or Dynamo Kyiv
59%

Winning margin

Rapid Vienna wins by 2+
22%
Dynamo Kyiv wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Rapid Vienna 1+ goals
85%
Rapid Vienna 2+ goals
56%
Rapid Vienna 3+ goals
29%
Dynamo Kyiv 1+ goals
84%
Dynamo Kyiv 2+ goals
54%
Dynamo Kyiv 3+ goals
27%

Draw no bet

Rapid Vienna (draw refunded)
52%
Dynamo Kyiv (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rapid Vienna at homecreates 2.00, concedes 1.48 · 23 matches

Dynamo Kyiv awaycreates 2.15, concedes 1.77 · 13 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rapid Vienna attack 2.00 + Dynamo Kyiv defence 1.77 → ÷2 → 1.89

Dynamo Kyiv attack 2.15 + Rapid Vienna defence 1.48 → ÷2 → 1.81

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Rapid Vienna scores more
41%
level
22%
Dynamo Kyiv scores more
38%

Rapid Vienna at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Rapid Vienna will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Rapid Vienna vs Dynamo Kyiv — Match Preview

Rapid Vienna face Dynamo Kyiv on June 8, 2022 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Rapid Vienna host Dynamo Kyiv at Trainingsgelände Allianz Stadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.