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Ranheim vs ODD Ballklubb — 1. Division 2026

Ranheim
Ranheim
Preview
15:00
ODD Ballklubb
ODD Ballklubb
8/30/20261. Division1. Division · Round 20EXTRA Arena
Big match
47%
Ranheim
model favours
47%22%31%

92% of Ranheim’s matches go over 2.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
66%
over 2.5 goals
66%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Ranheim47%
×Draw22%
ODD Ballklubb31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ranheim
1.89
ODD Ballklubb
1.50

Ranheim creates 26% more chances

Season form · 102 home / 21 away

creates per match

Ranheim
2.07
ODD Ballklubb
1.33

allows per match

Ranheim
1.67
ODD Ballklubb
1.71

finishing

Ranheim+0.00on par
ODD Ballklubb+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 66Under: 3466%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 66No: 3466%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ranheim ↓

ODD Ballklubb →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–27%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Ranheim or draw
69%
Ranheim or ODD Ballklubb
78%
Draw or ODD Ballklubb
53%

Winning margin

Ranheim wins by 2+
26%
ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Ranheim 1+ goals
85%
Ranheim 2+ goals
56%
Ranheim 3+ goals
29%
ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals
78%
ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals
44%
ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Ranheim (draw refunded)
60%
ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ranheim at home — creates 2.07, concedes 1.67 · 102 matches

ODD Ballklubb away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.71 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ranheim attack 2.07 + ODD Ballklubb defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.89

ODD Ballklubb attack 1.33 + Ranheim defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Ranheim scores more
47%
level
22%
ODD Ballklubb scores more
31%

Ranheim at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Ranheim will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both sides lean high-scoring (92% and 77% over 2.5)
  • Both teams score in 92% of ODD Ballklubb’s matches
  • Ranheim score first in only 23% of matches
  • 77% of ODD Ballklubb’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • ODD Ballklubb score first in only 31% of matches
  • 30% of Ranheim’s goals come in the first 15 minutes

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Ranheim
LLWLD
Ballklubb
LDDLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Ranheim vs ODD Ballklubb — Match Preview

Ranheim face ODD Ballklubb on August 30, 2026 in this 1. Division fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Ranheim host ODD Ballklubb at EXTRA Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.