Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

ODD Ballklubb vs Ranheim — Eliteserien 2026

ODD Ballklubb
ODD Ballklubb
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Ranheim
Ranheim
I. Furu 78' (OG)
S. Hagen 76'
10/7/2018EliteserienEliteserien · Round 25Skagerak Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 22+ matches

ODD Ballklubb51%
×Draw24%
Ranheim25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

ODD Ballklubb
1.71
Ranheim
1.12

ODD Ballklubb creates 53% more chances

Season form · 93 home / 22 away

creates per match

ODD Ballklubb
1.68
Ranheim
0.91

allows per match

ODD Ballklubb
1.33
Ranheim
1.73

finishing

ODD Ballklubb+0.00on par
Ranheim+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 54Under: 4654%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 55No: 4555%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

ODD Ballklubb ↓

Ranheim →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
54%46%3.5
31%69%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

ODD Ballklubb or draw
75%
ODD Ballklubb or Ranheim
76%
Draw or Ranheim
49%

Winning margin

ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+
28%
Ranheim wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals
82%
ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals
51%
ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals
24%
Ranheim 1+ goals
67%
Ranheim 2+ goals
31%
Ranheim 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)
67%
Ranheim (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

ODD Ballklubb at home — creates 1.68, concedes 1.33 · 93 matches

Ranheim away — creates 0.91, concedes 1.73 · 22 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

ODD Ballklubb attack 1.68 + Ranheim defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.71

Ranheim attack 0.91 + ODD Ballklubb defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

ODD Ballklubb scores more
51%
level
24%
Ranheim scores more
25%

ODD Ballklubb at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "ODD Ballklubb will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

21
S. HagenODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb · D
8.3

Match Events

31'
Vebjørn Hoff
37'
Mads Reginiussen
52'
Espen Ruud
59'
Ivar Erilen Furu
70'
T. Lauritsen← T. Børven
75'
Ø. Storflor← O. Solbakken
76'
M. Broberg← E. Rashani
76'
S. Hagen↳ E. Ruud
78'
I. FuruOwn goal
79'
S. Sørløkk← A. Helmersen
84'
J. Olufsen← K. Løkberg
90'
A. Sødlund← S. Mladenovic

Possession

ODD: 60Ranheim: 4060%ODD

Shots

ODD: 18Ranheim: 718ODD

Pass accuracy

ODD: 84Ranheim: 7354%ODD

Statistics

ODDRanheim
Overview
60%Possession40%
18Total Shots7
5Corners3
15Fouls13
Shots
18Total Shots7
5On Target2
8Off Target5
5Blocked0
9Inside Box3
9Outside Box4
Passing
60%Possession40%
555Total Passes375
464Accurate Passes273
84%Pass Accuracy73%
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
Discipline
15Fouls13
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Offsides1

Eliteserien: ODD Ballklubb 2–0 Ranheim

ODD Ballklubb beat Ranheim 2-0 in Eliteserien on October 7, 2018.

Goals: S. Hagen (76'), I. Furu (78' o.g.).

ODD Ballklubb controlled possession (60%) and registered 18 shots to 7.

The match was played at Skagerak Arena in Skien.