Scoreo

Ranheim vs ODD BallklubbEliteserien 2026

Ranheim
Ranheim
FT
31
HT: 21
ODD Ballklubb
ODD Ballklubb
M. Reginiussen 75', 41'
M. Broberg 20'
5/13/2018EliteserienEliteserien · Round 9Ranheim Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

Ranheim43%
×Draw24%
ODD Ballklubb33%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ranheim
1.63
ODD Ballklubb
1.42

Ranheim creates 15% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 89 away

creates per match

Ranheim
1.55
ODD Ballklubb
1.08

allows per match

Ranheim
1.75
ODD Ballklubb
1.71

finishing

Ranheim+0.00on par
ODD Ballklubb+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 59Under: 4159%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 61No: 3961%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ranheim

ODD Ballklubb
0
1
2
3
4
0
005%
017%
025%
032%
041%
1
108%
1111%
128%
134%
141%
2
206%
219%
226%
233%
241%
3
303%
315%
323%
332%
341%
4
401%
412%
421%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Ranheim or draw
67%
Ranheim or ODD Ballklubb
76%
Draw or ODD Ballklubb
57%

Winning margin

Ranheim wins by 2+
22%
ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Ranheim 1+ goals
80%
Ranheim 2+ goals
48%
Ranheim 3+ goals
22%
ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals
76%
ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals
41%
ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Ranheim (draw refunded)
56%
ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ranheim at homecreates 1.55, concedes 1.75 · 20 matches

ODD Ballklubb awaycreates 1.08, concedes 1.71 · 89 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ranheim attack 1.55 + ODD Ballklubb defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.63

ODD Ballklubb attack 1.08 + Ranheim defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Ranheim scores more
43%
level
24%
ODD Ballklubb scores more
33%

Ranheim at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Ranheim will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7
M. ReginiussenRanheimRanheim · M
8.0

Possession

Ranheim: 44ODD: 5644%Ranheim

Shots

Ranheim: 7ODD: 137Ranheim

Pass accuracy

Ranheim: 75ODD: 8048%Ranheim

Statistics

RanheimODD
Overview
44%Possession56%
7Total Shots13
4Corners4
16Fouls4
Shots
7Total Shots13
4On Target2
3Off Target10
0Blocked1
6Inside Box9
1Outside Box4
Passing
44%Possession56%
377Total Passes475
281Accurate Passes379
75%Pass Accuracy80%
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
Discipline
16Fouls4
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
5Offsides5

Match Recap: Ranheim vs ODD Ballklubb

Ranheim beat ODD Ballklubb 3-1 in Eliteserien on May 13, 2018.

Goals: M. Broberg (20'), M. Reginiussen (41', 75'), Ø. Storflor (44').

ODD Ballklubb controlled possession (56%) and registered 13 shots to 7.

The match was played at Ranheim Arena in Ranheim.