Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Ranheim vs Haugesund — 1. Division 2026

Ranheim
Ranheim
Preview
17:00
Haugesund
Haugesund
8/3/20261. Division1. Division · Round 16EXTRA Arena
43%
Haugesund
model favours
37%19%43%

Both sides lean high-scoring (92% and 82% over 2.5)

brightest fact of this match

2–2
likely score
84%
over 2.5 goals
81%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Ranheim37%
×Draw19%
Haugesund43%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ranheim
2.22
Haugesund
2.40

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 102 home / 8 away

creates per match

Ranheim
2.07
Haugesund
3.13

allows per match

Ranheim
1.67
Haugesund
2.38

finishing

Ranheim+0.00on par
Haugesund+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 84Under: 1684%Over
  • Over84
  • Under16

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 81No: 1981%Yes
  • Yes81
  • No19

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ranheim ↓

Haugesund →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–02%
1–15%
1–26%
1–35%
1–43%
2
2–02%
2–16%
2–27%
2–36%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–25%
3–34%
3–43%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–2 (7%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
84%16%3.5
67%33%4.5
48%52%

Double chance

Ranheim or draw
57%
Ranheim or Haugesund
81%
Draw or Haugesund
63%

Winning margin

Ranheim wins by 2+
21%
Haugesund wins by 2+
26%

Team goals

Ranheim 1+ goals
89%
Ranheim 2+ goals
65%
Ranheim 3+ goals
38%
Haugesund 1+ goals
91%
Haugesund 2+ goals
69%
Haugesund 3+ goals
42%

Draw no bet

Ranheim (draw refunded)
46%
Haugesund (draw refunded)
54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
76%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ranheim at home — creates 2.07, concedes 1.67 · 102 matches

Haugesund away — creates 3.13, concedes 2.38 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ranheim attack 2.07 + Haugesund defence 2.38 → ÷2 → 2.22

Haugesund attack 3.13 + Ranheim defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 2.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Ranheim scores more
37%
level
19%
Haugesund scores more
43%

Haugesund at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Haugesund will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 92% of Ranheim’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Haugesund have scored in 11 games running
  • Ranheim score first in only 23% of matches
  • 82% of Haugesund’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Haugesund have won 3 in a row
  • 30% of Ranheim’s goals come in the first 15 minutes

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Ranheim
LLWLD
Haugesund
WWLWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Ranheim face Haugesund (1. Division)

1. Division returns with Ranheim hosting Haugesund. Match starts August 3, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Ranheim host Haugesund at EXTRA Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.