Rangers 0–2 Slavia Praha: Result & Stats

Rangers

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

Slavia Praha

N. Stanciu 74'

P. Olayinka 14'

3/18/2021

UEFA Europa League · Round of 16Ibrox Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Rangers49%

×Draw24%

Slavia Praha27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

RangersExpected goals in this matchSlavia Praha

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.69

1.20

Rangers

1.69

Slavia Praha

1.20

Rangers creates 41% more chances

Season form · 34 home / 13 away

1.76

creates per match

1.54

0.85

allows per match

1.62

creates per match

Rangers

1.76

Slavia Praha

1.54

allows per match

Rangers

0.85

Slavia Praha

1.62

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Rangers+0.00on par

Slavia Praha+0.00on par

Total goals

Over55
Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rangers ↓

Slavia Praha →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–17%

0–24%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

55%45%3.5

33%67%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Rangers or draw

73%

Rangers or Slavia Praha

76%

Draw or Slavia Praha

51%

Winning margin

Rangers wins by 2+

26%

Slavia Praha wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Rangers 1+ goals

82%

Rangers 2+ goals

50%

Rangers 3+ goals

24%

Slavia Praha 1+ goals

70%

Slavia Praha 2+ goals

34%

Slavia Praha 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Rangers (draw refunded)

64%

Slavia Praha (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

46%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rangers at home — creates 1.76, concedes 0.85 · 34 matches

Slavia Praha away — creates 1.54, concedes 1.62 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rangers attack 1.76 + Slavia Praha defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.69

Slavia Praha attack 1.54 + Rangers defence 0.85 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Rangers scores more

49%

level

24%

Slavia Praha scores more

27%

Rangers at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Rangers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

17

L. Provod

Slavia Praha · M

8.3

Match Events

14'

P. Olayinka↳ J. Bořil

18'

35'

38'

55'

56'

58'

L. Masopust← P. Olayinka

58'

58'

61'

65'

73'

73'

74'

78'

J. Simpson← N. Patterson

82'

B. Zungu← R. Kent

83'

S. Wright← A. Morelos

83'

86'

89'

89'

90'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

RangersSlavia

Overview

50%Possession50%

7Total Shots6

3Corners6

21Fouls18

Shots

7Total Shots6

1On Target4

5Off Target2

1Blocked0

3Inside Box3

4Outside Box3

Passing

50%Possession50%

427Total Passes423

341Accurate Passes321

80%Pass Accuracy76%

Goalkeeping

2Saves1

Discipline

21Fouls18

5Yellow Cards3

2Red Cards0

1Offsides0

UEFA Europa League: Rangers 0–2 Slavia Praha

Slavia Praha beat Rangers 2-0 in UEFA Europa League on March 18, 2021.

Goals: P. Olayinka (14'), N. Stanciu (74').

Rangers controlled possession (50%) and registered 7 shots to 6.

The match was played at Ibrox Stadium in Glasgow.

Rangers vs Slavia Praha — UEFA Europa League 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

UEFA Europa League: Rangers 0–2 Slavia Praha