Rangers FC 0–0 Vovovo: Result & Stats

Rangers FC

FT

0 – 0

Vovovo

1/22/2022

Premier League · Round 10King Sobhuza II Memorial Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Rangers FC29%

×Draw27%

Vovovo44%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rangers FCExpected goals in this matchVovovo

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.07

1.38

Rangers FC

1.07

Vovovo

1.38

Vovovo creates 29% more chances

Season form · 56 home / 15 away

1.02

creates per match

1.40

1.36

allows per match

1.13

creates per match

Rangers FC

1.02

Vovovo

1.40

allows per match

Rangers FC

1.36

Vovovo

1.13

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Rangers FC+0.00on par

Vovovo+0.00on par

Total goals

Under56
Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rangers FC ↓

Vovovo →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–112%

0–28%

0–34%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–113%

1–29%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–17%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

44%56%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Rangers FC or draw

56%

Rangers FC or Vovovo

73%

Draw or Vovovo

71%

Winning margin

Rangers FC wins by 2+

11%

Vovovo wins by 2+

21%

Team goals

Rangers FC 1+ goals

66%

Rangers FC 2+ goals

29%

Rangers FC 3+ goals

9%

Vovovo 1+ goals

75%

Vovovo 2+ goals

40%

Vovovo 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Rangers FC (draw refunded)

40%

Vovovo (draw refunded)

60%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rangers FC at home — creates 1.02, concedes 1.36 · 56 matches

Vovovo away — creates 1.40, concedes 1.13 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rangers FC attack 1.02 + Vovovo defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.07

Vovovo attack 1.40 + Rangers FC defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Rangers FC scores more

29%

level

27%

Vovovo scores more

44%

Vovovo at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Vovovo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff