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Rangers FC vs Amawele — Premier League 2020

Rangers FC
Rangers FC
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Amawele
Amawele
2/7/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 17

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Rangers FC32%
×Draw30%
Amawele38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rangers FC
0.98
Amawele
1.09

Amawele creates 11% more chances

Season form · 56 home / 17 away

creates per match

Rangers FC
1.02
Amawele
0.82

allows per match

Rangers FC
1.36
Amawele
0.94

finishing

Rangers FC+0.00on par
Amawele+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Under
  • Under66
  • Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rangers FC ↓

Amawele →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–114%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
61%39%2.5
34%66%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Rangers FC or draw
62%
Rangers FC or Amawele
70%
Draw or Amawele
68%

Winning margin

Rangers FC wins by 2+
12%
Amawele wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Rangers FC 1+ goals
62%
Rangers FC 2+ goals
26%
Rangers FC 3+ goals
8%
Amawele 1+ goals
66%
Amawele 2+ goals
30%
Amawele 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Rangers FC (draw refunded)
46%
Amawele (draw refunded)
54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rangers FC at home — creates 1.02, concedes 1.36 · 56 matches

Amawele away — creates 0.82, concedes 0.94 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rangers FC attack 1.02 + Amawele defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 0.98

Amawele attack 0.82 + Rangers FC defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.09

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Rangers FC scores more
32%
level
30%
Amawele scores more
38%

Amawele at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Amawele will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Rangers FC 0–0 Amawele

Rangers FC and Amawele drew 0-0 in Premier League on February 7, 2026.