Radnik Bijeljina 0–1 Igman Konjic: Result & Stats

Radnik Bijeljina

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Igman Konjic

E. Buturović 81'

9/13/2024

Premijer Liga · Round 6Gradski Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 51+ matches

Radnik Bijeljina53%

×Draw23%

Igman Konjic23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Radnik BijeljinaExpected goals in this matchIgman Konjic

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.79

1.10

Radnik Bijeljina

1.79

Igman Konjic

1.10

Radnik Bijeljina creates 63% more chances

Season form · 73 home / 51 away

1.26

creates per match

1.20

1.01

allows per match

2.31

creates per match

Radnik Bijeljina

1.26

Igman Konjic

1.20

allows per match

Radnik Bijeljina

1.01

Igman Konjic

2.31

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Radnik Bijeljina+0.00on par

Igman Konjic+0.00on par

Total goals

Over55
Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Radnik Bijeljina ↓

Igman Konjic →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

55%45%3.5

33%67%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Radnik Bijeljina or draw

77%

Radnik Bijeljina or Igman Konjic

77%

Draw or Igman Konjic

47%

Winning margin

Radnik Bijeljina wins by 2+

30%

Igman Konjic wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Radnik Bijeljina 1+ goals

83%

Radnik Bijeljina 2+ goals

53%

Radnik Bijeljina 3+ goals

26%

Igman Konjic 1+ goals

67%

Igman Konjic 2+ goals

30%

Igman Konjic 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Radnik Bijeljina (draw refunded)

70%

Igman Konjic (draw refunded)

30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Radnik Bijeljina at home — creates 1.26, concedes 1.01 · 73 matches

Igman Konjic away — creates 1.20, concedes 2.31 · 51 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Radnik Bijeljina attack 1.26 + Igman Konjic defence 2.31 → ÷2 → 1.79

Igman Konjic attack 1.20 + Radnik Bijeljina defence 1.01 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Radnik Bijeljina scores more

53%

level

23%

Igman Konjic scores more

23%

Radnik Bijeljina at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Radnik Bijeljina will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'

Nathan← S. Jovanović

58'

A. Velic

58'

J. Da Silva Paulo← D. Teodorović

65'

A. Mešić← E. Herić

68'

A. Vasic

70'

M. Amidžić← D. Krajišnik

76'

E. Buturovic

81'

E. Buturović

84'

S. Subašić← M. Mehanović

84'

A. Pekarić← M. Maričić

90+7'

Nathan

90+8'

I. Djoric

90+4'

J. Nikolić← K. Hebibović

Radnik

Igman

▼

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: V. Đurić

46'▲Nathan←▼S. Jovanović

58'▲J. Da Silva Paulo←▼D. Teodorović

70'▲M. Amidžić←▼D. Krajišnik

84'▲S. Subašić←▼M. Mehanović

84'▲A. Pekarić←▼M. Maričić

Radnik Bijeljina substitutes

NathanPauloAmidžićSubašićPekarić

Manager: H. Musemić

65'▲A. Mešić←▼E. Herić

90+4'▲J. Nikolić←▼K. Hebibović

Igman Konjic substitutes

MešićNikolić

Premijer Liga: Radnik Bijeljina 0–1 Igman Konjic

Igman Konjic beat Radnik Bijeljina 1-0 in Premijer Liga on September 13, 2024.

Goals: E. Buturović (81').

The match was played at Gradski Stadion in Bijeljina.

Radnik Bijeljina vs Igman Konjic — Premijer Liga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Premijer Liga: Radnik Bijeljina 0–1 Igman Konjic