Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Radnički Zrenjanin vs Sloven Ruma — Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

Radnički Zrenjanin
Radnički Zrenjanin
FT
2 – 2
Sloven Ruma
Sloven Ruma
5/11/2024Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 27Stadion kod Skrobare

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Radnički Zrenjanin40%
×Draw25%
Sloven Ruma34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Radnički Zrenjanin
1.46
Sloven Ruma
1.32

Radnički Zrenjanin creates 11% more chances

Season form · 87 home / 30 away

creates per match

Radnički Zrenjanin
1.62
Sloven Ruma
1.57

allows per match

Radnički Zrenjanin
1.07
Sloven Ruma
1.30

finishing

Radnički Zrenjanin+0.00on par
Sloven Ruma+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Radnički Zrenjanin ↓

Sloven Ruma →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Radnički Zrenjanin or draw
66%
Radnički Zrenjanin or Sloven Ruma
75%
Draw or Sloven Ruma
60%

Winning margin

Radnički Zrenjanin wins by 2+
19%
Sloven Ruma wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Radnički Zrenjanin 1+ goals
77%
Radnički Zrenjanin 2+ goals
43%
Radnički Zrenjanin 3+ goals
18%
Sloven Ruma 1+ goals
73%
Sloven Ruma 2+ goals
38%
Sloven Ruma 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Radnički Zrenjanin (draw refunded)
54%
Sloven Ruma (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Radnički Zrenjanin at home — creates 1.62, concedes 1.07 · 87 matches

Sloven Ruma away — creates 1.57, concedes 1.30 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Radnički Zrenjanin attack 1.62 + Sloven Ruma defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.46

Sloven Ruma attack 1.57 + Radnički Zrenjanin defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.32

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Radnički Zrenjanin scores more
40%
level
25%
Sloven Ruma scores more
34%

Radnički Zrenjanin at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Radnički Zrenjanin will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina: Radnički Zrenjanin 2–2 Sloven Ruma

Radnički Zrenjanin and Sloven Ruma drew 2-2 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on May 11, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion kod Skrobare in Zrenjanin.