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Radnicki NIS vs Radnicki 1923 — Super Liga 2026

Radnicki NIS
Radnicki NIS
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Radnicki 1923
Radnicki 1923
2/8/2026Super LigaSuper Liga · Round 22Cair Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 94+ matches

Radnicki NIS46%
×Draw25%
Radnicki 192328%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Radnicki NIS
1.53
Radnicki 1923
1.14

Radnicki NIS creates 34% more chances

Season form · 147 home / 94 away

creates per match

Radnicki NIS
1.54
Radnicki 1923
1.15

allows per match

Radnicki NIS
1.13
Radnicki 1923
1.52

finishing

Radnicki NIS+0.00on par
Radnicki 1923+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Radnicki NIS ↓

Radnicki 1923 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Radnicki NIS or draw
72%
Radnicki NIS or Radnicki 1923
75%
Draw or Radnicki 1923
54%

Winning margin

Radnicki NIS wins by 2+
23%
Radnicki 1923 wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Radnicki NIS 1+ goals
78%
Radnicki NIS 2+ goals
45%
Radnicki NIS 3+ goals
20%
Radnicki 1923 1+ goals
68%
Radnicki 1923 2+ goals
32%
Radnicki 1923 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Radnicki NIS (draw refunded)
62%
Radnicki 1923 (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Radnicki NIS at home — creates 1.54, concedes 1.13 · 147 matches

Radnicki 1923 away — creates 1.15, concedes 1.52 · 94 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Radnicki NIS attack 1.54 + Radnicki 1923 defence 1.52 → ÷2 → 1.53

Radnicki 1923 attack 1.15 + Radnicki NIS defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Radnicki NIS scores more
46%
level
25%
Radnicki 1923 scores more
28%

Radnicki NIS at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Radnicki NIS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super Liga: Radnicki NIS 2–1 Radnicki 1923

Radnicki NIS beat Radnicki 1923 2-1 in Super Liga on February 8, 2026.

The match was played at Cair Stadium.