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Radnicki 1923 vs Javor — Super Liga 2026

Radnicki 1923
Radnicki 1923
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Javor
Javor
12/13/2025Super LigaSuper Liga · Round 19Cika Daca Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 90+ matches

Radnicki 192349%
×Draw25%
Javor26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Radnicki 1923
1.62
Javor
1.12

Radnicki 1923 creates 45% more chances

Season form · 93 home / 90 away

creates per match

Radnicki 1923
1.44
Javor
0.96

allows per match

Radnicki 1923
1.28
Javor
1.80

finishing

Radnicki 1923+0.00on par
Javor+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Radnicki 1923 ↓

Javor →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Radnicki 1923 or draw
74%
Radnicki 1923 or Javor
75%
Draw or Javor
51%

Winning margin

Radnicki 1923 wins by 2+
26%
Javor wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Radnicki 1923 1+ goals
80%
Radnicki 1923 2+ goals
48%
Radnicki 1923 3+ goals
22%
Javor 1+ goals
67%
Javor 2+ goals
31%
Javor 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Radnicki 1923 (draw refunded)
65%
Javor (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Radnicki 1923 at home — creates 1.44, concedes 1.28 · 93 matches

Javor away — creates 0.96, concedes 1.80 · 90 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Radnicki 1923 attack 1.44 + Javor defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.62

Javor attack 0.96 + Radnicki 1923 defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Radnicki 1923 scores more
49%
level
25%
Javor scores more
26%

Radnicki 1923 at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Radnicki 1923 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super Liga: Radnicki 1923 1–1 Javor

Radnicki 1923 and Javor drew 1-1 in Super Liga on December 13, 2025.

The match was played at Cika Daca Stadium in Kragujevac.