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Quick Boys vs De Treffers — Tweede Divisie 2019

Quick Boys
Quick Boys
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
De Treffers
De Treffers
2/7/2026Tweede DivisieTweede Divisie · Round 22Sportpark Nieuw Zuid

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 100+ matches

Quick Boys45%
×Draw23%
De Treffers31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Quick Boys
1.75
De Treffers
1.42

Quick Boys creates 23% more chances

Season form · 101 home / 100 away

creates per match

Quick Boys
1.98
De Treffers
1.60

allows per match

Quick Boys
1.23
De Treffers
1.51

finishing

Quick Boys+0.00on par
De Treffers+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Quick Boys ↓

De Treffers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–27%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Quick Boys or draw
69%
Quick Boys or De Treffers
77%
Draw or De Treffers
55%

Winning margin

Quick Boys wins by 2+
24%
De Treffers wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Quick Boys 1+ goals
83%
Quick Boys 2+ goals
52%
Quick Boys 3+ goals
25%
De Treffers 1+ goals
76%
De Treffers 2+ goals
41%
De Treffers 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Quick Boys (draw refunded)
59%
De Treffers (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Quick Boys at home — creates 1.98, concedes 1.23 · 101 matches

De Treffers away — creates 1.60, concedes 1.51 · 100 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Quick Boys attack 1.98 + De Treffers defence 1.51 → ÷2 → 1.75

De Treffers attack 1.60 + Quick Boys defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Quick Boys scores more
45%
level
23%
De Treffers scores more
31%

Quick Boys at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Quick Boys will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Tweede Divisie: Quick Boys 0–2 De Treffers

De Treffers beat Quick Boys 2-0 in Tweede Divisie on February 7, 2026.

The match was played at Sportpark Nieuw Zuid in Katwijk.