Queen's Park 0–0 ST Mirren: Result & Stats

Queen's Park

Pens

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

ST Mirren

7/24/2018

League Cup · Group Stage - 5Hampden Park (Glasgow)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Queen's Park45%

×Draw23%

ST Mirren32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Queen's ParkExpected goals in this matchST Mirren

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.77

1.45

Queen's Park

1.77

ST Mirren

1.45

Queen's Park creates 22% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 14 away

2.40

creates per match

1.57

1.33

allows per match

1.14

creates per match

Queen's Park

2.40

ST Mirren

1.57

allows per match

Queen's Park

1.33

ST Mirren

1.14

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Queen's Park+0.00on par

ST Mirren+0.00on par

Total goals

Over62
Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes63
No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Queen's Park ↓

ST Mirren →

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1–07%

1–110%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3–04%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4–02%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

62%38%3.5

40%60%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

Queen's Park or draw

68%

Queen's Park or ST Mirren

77%

Draw or ST Mirren

55%

Winning margin

Queen's Park wins by 2+

24%

ST Mirren wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Queen's Park 1+ goals

83%

Queen's Park 2+ goals

53%

Queen's Park 3+ goals

26%

ST Mirren 1+ goals

77%

ST Mirren 2+ goals

42%

ST Mirren 3+ goals

18%

Draw no bet

Queen's Park (draw refunded)

59%

ST Mirren (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

53%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Queen's Park at home — creates 2.40, concedes 1.33 · 15 matches

ST Mirren away — creates 1.57, concedes 1.14 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Queen's Park attack 2.40 + ST Mirren defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.77

ST Mirren attack 1.57 + Queen's Park defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.45

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 45%?"

Queen's Park scores more

45%

level

23%

ST Mirren scores more

32%

Queen's Park at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Queen's Park will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

56'

K. Magennis← C. MacPherson

66'

B. Sharpe← S. Osadolor

68'

R. Stewart← C. Smith

71'

C. McGrory← A. Martin

74'

J. Peters← Dean Kindlan

Queen's

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: G. MacPherson

66'▲B. Sharpe←▼S. Osadolor

71'▲C. McGrory←▼A. Martin

74'▲J. Peters←▼Dean Kindlan

Queen's Park substitutes

14Sharpe16McGrory12Peters17Grant19Dunlop15Nimmo18Kindlan

Manager: A. Stubbs

56'▲K. Magennis←▼C. MacPherson

68'▲R. Stewart←▼C. Smith

ST Mirren substitutes

7Magennis19Stewart20Cooke39Erhahon17Kellerman25Rogers23King

Match Recap: Queen's Park vs ST Mirren

Queen's Park and ST Mirren drew 0-0 in League Cup on July 24, 2018.

The match was played at Hampden Park (Glasgow).

Queen's Park vs ST Mirren — League Cup 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Queen's Park vs ST Mirren