Scoreo

Queen's Park vs Inverness CTLeague #180 2026

2/27/2027League #180League #180 · Round 27The City Stadium
Big match
47%
Inverness CT
model favours
28%25%47%

Queen's Park score first in only 14% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
52%
over 2.5 goals
55%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 27+ matches

Queen's Park28%
×Draw25%
Inverness CT47%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Queen's Park
1.17
Inverness CT
1.57

Inverness CT creates 34% more chances

Season form · 51 home / 27 away

creates per match

Queen's Park
1.16
Inverness CT
1.63

allows per match

Queen's Park
1.51
Inverness CT
1.19

finishing

Queen's Park+0.00on par
Inverness CT+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Queen's Park

Inverness CT
0
1
2
3
4
0
006%
0110%
028%
034%
042%
1
108%
1112%
129%
135%
142%
2
204%
217%
225%
233%
241%
3
302%
313%
322%
331%
340%
4
401%
411%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Queen's Park or draw
53%
Queen's Park or Inverness CT
75%
Draw or Inverness CT
72%

Winning margin

Queen's Park wins by 2+
11%
Inverness CT wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Queen's Park 1+ goals
69%
Queen's Park 2+ goals
33%
Queen's Park 3+ goals
11%
Inverness CT 1+ goals
79%
Inverness CT 2+ goals
46%
Inverness CT 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Queen's Park (draw refunded)
38%
Inverness CT (draw refunded)
62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Queen's Park at homecreates 1.16, concedes 1.51 · 51 matches

Inverness CT awaycreates 1.63, concedes 1.19 · 27 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Queen's Park attack 1.16 + Inverness CT defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.17

Inverness CT attack 1.63 + Queen's Park defence 1.51 → ÷2 → 1.57

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Queen's Park scores more
28%
level
25%
Inverness CT scores more
47%

Inverness CT at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Inverness CT will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 36% of Inverness CT’s goals come after the 75th minute

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Park
LWWWD
CT
WWDWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Queen's Park host Inverness CT

February 27, 2027: Queen's Park take on Inverness CT in League #180. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Queen's Park host Inverness CT at The City Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.