Scoreo

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Qarabag 31%Draw 23%46% Chelsea
1.42Expected xG1.77

Over / Under 2.5

62%

Over

38%

Under

Both Score

63%

Yes

37%

No

Most Likely Scores

1-1

10%

1-2

9%

2-1

7%

xG Profile (5 home / 5 away matches)

Qarabag

xG 1.38 · xGA 2.15

+0.62 vs xG

Chelsea

xG 1.39 · xGA 1.46

+0.41 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Qarabag vs ChelseaUEFA Champions League 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League·2026📍Tofiq Bahramov Stadium
Qarabag
Qarabag
FT
22
HT: 21
Chelsea
Chelsea
M. Jankovic 39' (pen)
Estevao 16'
Date
Nov 5, 2025, 5:45 PM
Tournament
UEFA Champions League · UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4
Venue
Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Qarabag

Over / Under 2.5

62%over 2.5
  • Over 2.51662%
  • Under 2.51038%

Both teams scored

58%BTTS
  • Yes1558%
  • No1142%

Chelsea

Over / Under 2.5

68%over 2.5
  • Over 2.54268%
  • Under 2.52032%

Both teams scored

60%BTTS
  • Yes3760%
  • No2540%

Possession

39%Qarabag

Shots

9Qarabag

Pass accuracy

47%Qarabag

Statistics

QarabagChelsea
Overview
39%Possession61%
9Total Shots16
1.63Expected Goals (xG)1.26
2Corners8
9Fouls19
Shots
9Total Shots16
3On Target4
3Off Target8
3Blocked4
7Inside Box11
2Outside Box5
Passing
39%Possession61%
311Total Passes498
244Accurate Passes436
78%Pass Accuracy88%
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
-0.24Goals Prevented-0.24
Discipline
9Fouls19
2Yellow Cards3
1Offsides1

Match Recap: Qarabag vs Chelsea

Qarabag and Chelsea drew 2-2 in UEFA Champions League on November 5, 2025.

Goals: Estevao (16'), Leandro Andrade (29'), M. Jankovic (39' pen), A. Garnacho (53').

Chelsea controlled possession (61%) and registered 16 shots to 9.

The match was played at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium in Baku.