Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 4+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
84%
Over
16%
Under
Both Score
80%
Yes
20%
No
Most Likely Scores
2-1
7%
2-2
7%
3-1
6%
xG Profile (8 home / 4 away matches)
Qarabag
xG 2.25 · xGA 2.25
+0 vs xG
Ajax
xG 1.75 · xGA 3
+0 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Qarabag vs Ajax — UEFA Champions League 2026
UEFA Champions League·2026📍Tofiq Bahramov Stadium- Date
- Dec 10, 2025, 5:45 PM
- Tournament
- UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 6
- Referee
- R. Obrenovic
- Venue
- Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Qarabag
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51662%
- Under 2.51038%
Both teams scored
- Yes1558%
- No1142%
Ajax
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52864%
- Under 2.51636%
Both teams scored
- Yes2761%
- No1739%
Match Events
Head to Head
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
Real Madrid
Qarabag
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Club Brugge KV
Pafos
FC Copenhagen
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Inter
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Monaco
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KuPS
Zrinjski
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Plzen
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Ludogorets
Ajax
Red Bull Salzburg
Fenerbahçe
FC Noah
Shelbourne
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Dinamo Minsk
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
FCSB
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Servette FC
Feyenoord
Breidablik
Sturm Graz
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Hamrun Spartans
Slavia Praha
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The New Saints
Celtic
Buducnost Podgorica
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Linfield
Milsami Orhei
FC Basel 1893
Panathinaikos
Olimpija Ljubljana
Brann
Villarreal
FC Differdange 03
Vikingur Gota
FC Levadia Tallinn
Virtus
Saburtalo
NiceIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Qarabag host Ajax on Wednesday, 10 December 2025 at 17:45. The match is part of the UEFA Champions League 2026/2027 season.
UEFA Champions League: Qarabag 2–4 Ajax
Ajax beat Qarabag 4-2 in UEFA Champions League on December 10, 2025.
Goals: C. Duran (10'), K. Dolberg (39'), Matheus Silva (47'), O. Gloukh (79', 90'), A. Gaaei (83').
Ajax controlled possession (53%) and registered 20 shots to 17.
The match was played at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium in Baku.