Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Qabala vs Sabah FA — Premyer Liqa 2019

Qabala
Qabala
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Sabah FA
Sabah FA
2/16/2026Premyer LiqaPremyer Liqa · Round 20

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 91+ matches

Qabala31%
×Draw26%
Sabah FA43%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Qabala
1.17
Sabah FA
1.42

Sabah FA creates 21% more chances

Season form · 91 home / 109 away

creates per match

Qabala
1.16
Sabah FA
1.51

allows per match

Qabala
1.32
Sabah FA
1.17

finishing

Qabala+0.00on par
Sabah FA+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Qabala ↓

Sabah FA →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–111%
0–28%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–29%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–17%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Qabala or draw
57%
Qabala or Sabah FA
74%
Draw or Sabah FA
69%

Winning margin

Qabala wins by 2+
13%
Sabah FA wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Qabala 1+ goals
69%
Qabala 2+ goals
33%
Qabala 3+ goals
11%
Sabah FA 1+ goals
76%
Sabah FA 2+ goals
41%
Sabah FA 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Qabala (draw refunded)
42%
Sabah FA (draw refunded)
58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Qabala at home — creates 1.16, concedes 1.32 · 91 matches

Sabah FA away — creates 1.51, concedes 1.17 · 109 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Qabala attack 1.16 + Sabah FA defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.17

Sabah FA attack 1.51 + Qabala defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Qabala scores more
31%
level
26%
Sabah FA scores more
43%

Sabah FA at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Sabah FA will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Qabala vs Sabah FA

Sabah FA beat Qabala 1-0 in Premyer Liqa on February 16, 2026.