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PWD Bamenda vs Unisport Bafang — Elite One 2019

PWD Bamenda
PWD Bamenda
FT
5 – 0
HT: 3 – 0
Unisport Bafang
Unisport Bafang
N. Fielding 90'
T. Banter 68'
B. Kache 40'
B. Eyong 25'
J. Nguimbat 14'
5/17/2026Elite OneElite One · Round 19

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

PWD Bamenda48%
×Draw26%
Unisport Bafang26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

PWD Bamenda
1.46
Unisport Bafang
1.00

PWD Bamenda creates 46% more chances

Season form · 93 home / 21 away

creates per match

PWD Bamenda
1.26
Unisport Bafang
1.10

allows per match

PWD Bamenda
0.89
Unisport Bafang
1.67

finishing

PWD Bamenda+0.00on par
Unisport Bafang+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

PWD Bamenda ↓

Unisport Bafang →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–19%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
45%55%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

PWD Bamenda or draw
74%
PWD Bamenda or Unisport Bafang
74%
Draw or Unisport Bafang
52%

Winning margin

PWD Bamenda wins by 2+
24%
Unisport Bafang wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

PWD Bamenda 1+ goals
77%
PWD Bamenda 2+ goals
43%
PWD Bamenda 3+ goals
18%
Unisport Bafang 1+ goals
63%
Unisport Bafang 2+ goals
26%
Unisport Bafang 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

PWD Bamenda (draw refunded)
65%
Unisport Bafang (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

PWD Bamenda at home — creates 1.26, concedes 0.89 · 93 matches

Unisport Bafang away — creates 1.10, concedes 1.67 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

PWD Bamenda attack 1.26 + Unisport Bafang defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.46

Unisport Bafang attack 1.10 + PWD Bamenda defence 0.89 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

PWD Bamenda scores more
48%
level
26%
Unisport Bafang scores more
26%

PWD Bamenda at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "PWD Bamenda will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

7'
14'
J. Nguimbat
25'
B. Eyong
40'
B. Kache
68'
T. Banter
90'
N. Fielding

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Elite One: PWD Bamenda 5–0 Unisport Bafang

PWD Bamenda beat Unisport Bafang 5-0 in Elite One on May 17, 2026.

Goals: J. Nguimbat (14'), B. Eyong (25'), B. Kache (40'), T. Banter (68'), N. Fielding (90').