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Puskas Academy vs Deinze — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Puskas Academy
Puskas Academy
CANC
14:30
Deinze
Deinze
1/8/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Santa Maria Polo Cancha 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Puskas Academy53%
×Draw24%
Deinze23%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Puskas Academy
1.71
Deinze
1.04

Puskas Academy creates 64% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 4 away

creates per match

Puskas Academy
1.43
Deinze
1.00

allows per match

Puskas Academy
1.07
Deinze
2.00

finishing

Puskas Academy+0.00on par
Deinze+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Puskas Academy ↓

Deinze →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Puskas Academy or draw
77%
Puskas Academy or Deinze
76%
Draw or Deinze
47%

Winning margin

Puskas Academy wins by 2+
29%
Deinze wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Puskas Academy 1+ goals
82%
Puskas Academy 2+ goals
51%
Puskas Academy 3+ goals
24%
Deinze 1+ goals
65%
Deinze 2+ goals
28%
Deinze 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Puskas Academy (draw refunded)
70%
Deinze (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Puskas Academy at home — creates 1.43, concedes 1.07 · 14 matches

Deinze away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.00 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Puskas Academy attack 1.43 + Deinze defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.71

Deinze attack 1.00 + Puskas Academy defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Puskas Academy scores more
53%
level
24%
Deinze scores more
23%

Puskas Academy at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Puskas Academy will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Puskas Academy host Deinze

January 8, 2022: Puskas Academy take on Deinze in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Puskas Academy host Deinze at Santa Maria Polo Cancha 1.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.