Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Púchov vs Hodonín — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Púchov
Púchov
FT
3 – 2
HT: 2 – 2
Hodonín
Hodonín
Unknown 90', 39', 15'
M. Necas 23'
D. Jambor 3'
1/31/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Púchov38%
×Draw22%
Hodonín41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Púchov
1.81
Hodonín
1.89

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 10 home / 9 away

creates per match

Púchov
1.30
Hodonín
1.78

allows per match

Púchov
2.00
Hodonín
2.33

finishing

Púchov+0.00on par
Hodonín+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Púchov ↓

Hodonín →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–15%
0–24%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Púchov or draw
59%
Púchov or Hodonín
78%
Draw or Hodonín
62%

Winning margin

Púchov wins by 2+
19%
Hodonín wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

Púchov 1+ goals
84%
Púchov 2+ goals
54%
Púchov 3+ goals
27%
Hodonín 1+ goals
85%
Hodonín 2+ goals
56%
Hodonín 3+ goals
29%

Draw no bet

Púchov (draw refunded)
48%
Hodonín (draw refunded)
52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Púchov at home — creates 1.30, concedes 2.00 · 10 matches

Hodonín away — creates 1.78, concedes 2.33 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Púchov attack 1.30 + Hodonín defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 1.81

Hodonín attack 1.78 + Púchov defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Púchov scores more
38%
level
22%
Hodonín scores more
41%

Hodonín at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Hodonín will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

3'
D. Jambor
15'
23'
M. Necas
39'
90'
Púchov
Hodonín
Stanislav Mraz
Manager: Stanislav Mraz
Pavol Svantner
Manager: Pavol Svantner

Friendlies Clubs: Púchov 3–2 Hodonín

Púchov beat Hodonín 3-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 31, 2026.

Goals: D. Jambor (3'), ? (15', 39', 90'), M. Necas (23').