Púchov 2–2 Baník Prievidza: Result & Stats

Púchov

FT

2 – 2

HT: 1 – 0

Baník Prievidza

Unknown 62', 39'

M. Filkorn 82'

D. Laktionov 52'

7/18/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Púchov52%

×Draw20%

Baník Prievidza28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PúchovExpected goals in this matchBaník Prievidza

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.27

1.63

Púchov

2.27

Baník Prievidza

1.63

Púchov creates 39% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 4 away

1.30

creates per match

1.25

2.00

allows per match

3.25

creates per match

Púchov

1.30

Baník Prievidza

1.25

allows per match

Púchov

2.00

Baník Prievidza

3.25

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Púchov+0.00on par

Baník Prievidza+0.00on par

Total goals

Over74
Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes72
No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Púchov ↓

Baník Prievidza →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–13%

0–23%

0–31%

0–41%

1

1–05%

1–18%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–19%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–25%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–14%

4–23%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

90%10%2.5

74%26%3.5

54%46%4.5

34%66%

Double chance

Púchov or draw

72%

Púchov or Baník Prievidza

80%

Draw or Baník Prievidza

48%

Winning margin

Púchov wins by 2+

31%

Baník Prievidza wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Púchov 1+ goals

90%

Púchov 2+ goals

66%

Púchov 3+ goals

39%

Baník Prievidza 1+ goals

80%

Baník Prievidza 2+ goals

48%

Baník Prievidza 3+ goals

22%

Draw no bet

Púchov (draw refunded)

65%

Baník Prievidza (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

64%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Púchov at home — creates 1.30, concedes 2.00 · 10 matches

Baník Prievidza away — creates 1.25, concedes 3.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Púchov attack 1.30 + Baník Prievidza defence 3.25 → ÷2 → 2.27

Baník Prievidza attack 1.25 + Púchov defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Púchov scores more

52%

level

20%

Baník Prievidza scores more

28%

Púchov at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Púchov will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

39'

52'

D. Laktionov

62'

82'

M. Filkorn

Púchov

Baník

Manager: Stanislav Mraz

Manager: J. Pekár

Friendlies Clubs: Púchov 2–2 Baník Prievidza

Púchov and Baník Prievidza drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on July 18, 2026.

Goals: ? (39', 62'), D. Laktionov (52'), M. Filkorn (82').

Púchov vs Baník Prievidza — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Friendlies Clubs: Púchov 2–2 Baník Prievidza