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Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

PSV 34%Draw 23%44% Liverpool
1.57Expected xG1.81

Over / Under 2.5

66%

Over

34%

Under

Both Score

66%

Yes

34%

No

Most Likely Scores

1-1

10%

1-2

9%

2-1

8%

xG Profile (5 home / 7 away matches)

PSV Eindhoven

xG 2.02 · xGA 2.04

+0.58 vs xG

Liverpool

xG 1.58 · xGA 1.13

-0.01 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

PSV Eindhoven vs Liverpool — UEFA Champions League 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League·2026📍Philips Stadion
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
FT
3 – 2
HT: 3 – 2
Liverpool
Liverpool
R. Pepi 45+5'
I. Saibari 45'
J. Bakayoko 35'
H. Elliott 40'
C. Gakpo 28' (pen)
Date
Jan 29, 2025, 8:00 PM
Tournament
UEFA Champions League · UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 8
Referee
T. Stieler
Venue
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

PSV Eindhoven

Over / Under 2.5

78%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53678%
  • Under 2.51022%

Both teams scored

76%BTTS
  • Yes3576%
  • No1124%

Liverpool

Over / Under 2.5

63%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53663%
  • Under 2.52137%

Both teams scored

58%BTTS
  • Yes3358%
  • No2442%

Player of the match

11
J. BakayokoPSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven · M
7.9

Match Events

28'
C. GakpoPenalty
35'
J. Bakayoko↳ R. Pepi
40'
H. Elliott
45+3'
Joey Veerman
45+3'
Rick Karsdorp
45+5'
Andrew Robertson
45'
I. Saibari↳ J. Veerman
45+5'
R. Pepi
52'
T. Morton← C. Gakpo
63'
Tyler Morton
64'
T. Nyoni← A. Robertson
66'
Harvey Elliott
66'
R. Ledezma← R. Karsdorp
76'
L. de Jong← R. Pepi
76'
C. Driouech← I. Saibari
76'
A. Nagalo← A. Obispo
83'
A. Nallo← J. Danns
87'
Amara Nallo
90+2'
I. Babadi← G. Til

Possession

53%PSV

Shots

12PSV

Pass accuracy

50%PSV

Statistics

PSVLiverpool
Overview
53%Possession47%
12Total Shots9
1.32Expected Goals (xG)1.64
8Corners2
11Fouls11
Shots
12Total Shots9
5On Target5
5Off Target2
2Blocked2
7Inside Box5
5Outside Box4
Passing
53%Possession47%
516Total Passes454
432Accurate Passes385
84%Pass Accuracy85%
Goalkeeping
3Saves1
-0.80Goals Prevented-0.80
Discipline
11Fouls11
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
3Offsides1

PSV Eindhoven 3 – 2 Liverpool

PSV Eindhoven beat Liverpool 3-2 in UEFA Champions League on January 29, 2025.

Goals: C. Gakpo (28' pen), J. Bakayoko (35'), H. Elliott (40'), I. Saibari (45'), R. Pepi (45+5').

PSV Eindhoven controlled possession (53%) and registered 12 shots to 9.

The match was played at Philips Stadion in Eindhoven.