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Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

PSV 45%Draw 20%36% Atletico
2.31Expected xG2.06

Over / Under 2.5

81%

Over

19%

Under

Both Score

78%

Yes

22%

No

Most Likely Scores

2-2

7%

2-1

7%

1-2

6%

xG Profile (4 home / 8 away matches)

PSV Eindhoven

xG 2.5 · xGA 2.5

+0 vs xG

Atletico Madrid

xG 1.63 · xGA 2.13

+0 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid — UEFA Champions League 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League·2026📍Philips Stadion
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
FT
2 – 3
HT: 1 – 1
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
R. Pepi 85'
G. Til 10'
A. Sorloth 56'
D. Hancko 52'
J. Alvarez 37'
Date
Dec 9, 2025, 8:00 PM
Tournament
UEFA Champions League · UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 6
Referee
M. Oliver
Venue
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

PSV Eindhoven

Over / Under 2.5

85%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53385%
  • Under 2.5615%

Both teams scored

82%BTTS
  • Yes3282%
  • No718%

Atletico Madrid

Over / Under 2.5

60%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53560%
  • Under 2.52340%

Both teams scored

59%BTTS
  • Yes3459%
  • No2441%

Match Events

10'
G. Til↳ C. Driouech
20'
Ismael Saibari
33'
Jerdy Schouten
37'
J. Alvarez↳ A. Sorloth
41'
Mauro Júnior
47'
Giuliano Simeone
50'
Pablo Barrios
52'
D. Hancko↳ N. Molina
54'
Yarek Gasiorowski
56'
A. Sorloth↳ P. Barrios
58'
A. Obispo← Y. Gasiorowski
58'
D. Man← P. Wanner
69'
C. Gallagher← N. Gonzalez
73'
R. Pepi← G. Til
76'
A. Griezmann← Koke
76'
T. Almada← A. Sorloth
81'
I. Perisic← C. Driouech
85'
R. Pepi↳ I. Perisic
89'
R. Le Normand← G. Simeone
90+2'
Matteo Ruggeri

Possession

53%PSV

Shots

13PSV

Pass accuracy

50%PSV

Statistics

PSVAtletico
Overview
53%Possession47%
13Total Shots15
2.67Expected Goals (xG)2.23
9Corners5
11Fouls15
Shots
13Total Shots15
3On Target9
7Off Target4
3Blocked2
9Inside Box8
4Outside Box7
Passing
53%Possession47%
486Total Passes445
406Accurate Passes369
84%Pass Accuracy83%
Goalkeeping
6Saves1
0.09Goals Prevented0.09
Discipline
11Fouls15
4Yellow Cards3
2Offsides3

PSV Eindhoven 2 – 3 Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid beat PSV Eindhoven 3-2 in UEFA Champions League on December 9, 2025.

Goals: G. Til (10'), J. Alvarez (37'), D. Hancko (52'), A. Sorloth (56'), R. Pepi (85').

PSV Eindhoven controlled possession (53%) and registered 13 shots to 15.

The match was played at Philips Stadion in Eindhoven.