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Prostějov vs Viktoria Otrokovice — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Prostějov
Prostějov
FT
6 – 0
Viktoria Otrokovice
Viktoria Otrokovice
8/1/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Hrište Slatinice

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Prostějov63%
×Draw17%
Viktoria Otrokovice20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Prostějov
2.79
Viktoria Otrokovice
1.54

Prostějov creates 81% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 14 away

creates per match

Prostějov
3.36
Viktoria Otrokovice
2.43

allows per match

Prostějov
0.64
Viktoria Otrokovice
2.21

finishing

Prostějov+0.00on par
Viktoria Otrokovice+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Over
  • Over80
  • Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

74%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Prostějov ↓

Viktoria Otrokovice →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–16%
1–24%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–18%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
80%20%3.5
62%38%4.5
42%58%

Double chance

Prostějov or draw
80%
Prostějov or Viktoria Otrokovice
83%
Draw or Viktoria Otrokovice
37%

Winning margin

Prostějov wins by 2+
43%
Viktoria Otrokovice wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Prostějov 1+ goals
94%
Prostějov 2+ goals
76%
Prostějov 3+ goals
52%
Viktoria Otrokovice 1+ goals
79%
Viktoria Otrokovice 2+ goals
45%
Viktoria Otrokovice 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Prostějov (draw refunded)
76%
Viktoria Otrokovice (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
68%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Prostějov at home — creates 3.36, concedes 0.64 · 11 matches

Viktoria Otrokovice away — creates 2.43, concedes 2.21 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Prostějov attack 3.36 + Viktoria Otrokovice defence 2.21 → ÷2 → 2.79

Viktoria Otrokovice attack 2.43 + Prostějov defence 0.64 → ÷2 → 1.54

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Prostějov scores more
63%
level
17%
Viktoria Otrokovice scores more
20%

Prostějov at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Prostějov will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Prostějov 6–0 Viktoria Otrokovice

Prostějov beat Viktoria Otrokovice 6-0 in Friendlies Clubs on August 1, 2020.

The match was played at Hrište Slatinice in Slatinice.