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Proleter Novi SAD vs Krylya Sovetov — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Proleter Novi SAD
Proleter Novi SAD
FT
1 – 3
Krylya Sovetov
Krylya Sovetov
6/24/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Proleter Novi SAD27%
×Draw21%
Krylya Sovetov52%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Proleter Novi SAD
1.44
Krylya Sovetov
2.06

Krylya Sovetov creates 43% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 8 away

creates per match

Proleter Novi SAD
0.75
Krylya Sovetov
2.63

allows per match

Proleter Novi SAD
1.50
Krylya Sovetov
2.13

finishing

Proleter Novi SAD+0.00on par
Krylya Sovetov+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Proleter Novi SAD ↓

Krylya Sovetov →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–26%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–04%
1–19%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
68%32%3.5
46%54%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

Proleter Novi SAD or draw
48%
Proleter Novi SAD or Krylya Sovetov
79%
Draw or Krylya Sovetov
73%

Winning margin

Proleter Novi SAD wins by 2+
12%
Krylya Sovetov wins by 2+
30%

Team goals

Proleter Novi SAD 1+ goals
76%
Proleter Novi SAD 2+ goals
42%
Proleter Novi SAD 3+ goals
18%
Krylya Sovetov 1+ goals
87%
Krylya Sovetov 2+ goals
61%
Krylya Sovetov 3+ goals
34%

Draw no bet

Proleter Novi SAD (draw refunded)
34%
Krylya Sovetov (draw refunded)
66%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Proleter Novi SAD at home — creates 0.75, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

Krylya Sovetov away — creates 2.63, concedes 2.13 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Proleter Novi SAD attack 0.75 + Krylya Sovetov defence 2.13 → ÷2 → 1.44

Krylya Sovetov attack 2.63 + Proleter Novi SAD defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 2.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Proleter Novi SAD scores more
27%
level
21%
Krylya Sovetov scores more
52%

Krylya Sovetov at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Krylya Sovetov will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Proleter Novi SAD vs Krylya Sovetov

Krylya Sovetov beat Proleter Novi SAD 3-1 in Friendlies Clubs on June 24, 2021.

The match was played at TBC in TBC.