Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Prishtina vs Drita — Superliga 2019

Prishtina
Prishtina
FT
2 – 2
HT: 0 – 2
Drita
Drita
9/14/2025SuperligaSuperliga · Round 4Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 124+ matches

Prishtina40%
×Draw27%
Drita32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Prishtina
1.29
Drita
1.12

Prishtina creates 15% more chances

Season form · 125 home / 124 away

creates per match

Prishtina
1.65
Drita
1.31

allows per match

Prishtina
0.93
Drita
0.94

finishing

Prishtina+0.00on par
Drita+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Prishtina ↓

Drita →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Prishtina or draw
68%
Prishtina or Drita
73%
Draw or Drita
60%

Winning margin

Prishtina wins by 2+
18%
Drita wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Prishtina 1+ goals
72%
Prishtina 2+ goals
37%
Prishtina 3+ goals
14%
Drita 1+ goals
67%
Drita 2+ goals
31%
Drita 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Prishtina (draw refunded)
56%
Drita (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Prishtina at home — creates 1.65, concedes 0.93 · 125 matches

Drita away — creates 1.31, concedes 0.94 · 124 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Prishtina attack 1.65 + Drita defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.29

Drita attack 1.31 + Prishtina defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 1.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Prishtina scores more
40%
level
27%
Drita scores more
32%

Prishtina at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Prishtina will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Superliga: Prishtina 2–2 Drita

Prishtina and Drita drew 2-2 in Superliga on September 14, 2025.

The match was played at Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri in Prishtinë (Pristina).