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Preussen Munster vs SSV Jeddeloh — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Preussen Munster
Preussen Munster
FT
2 – 0
SSV Jeddeloh
SSV Jeddeloh
8/22/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Preußen-Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Preussen Munster48%
×Draw19%
SSV Jeddeloh33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Preussen Munster
2.56
SSV Jeddeloh
2.12

Preussen Munster creates 21% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 10 away

creates per match

Preussen Munster
2.83
SSV Jeddeloh
2.90

allows per match

Preussen Munster
1.33
SSV Jeddeloh
2.30

finishing

Preussen Munster+0.00on par
SSV Jeddeloh+0.00on par

Total goals

84%Over
  • Over84
  • Under16

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

81%Yes
  • Yes81
  • No19

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Preussen Munster ↓

SSV Jeddeloh →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–02%
1–15%
1–25%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–24%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 84% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
95%5%2.5
84%16%3.5
68%32%4.5
49%51%

Double chance

Preussen Munster or draw
67%
Preussen Munster or SSV Jeddeloh
81%
Draw or SSV Jeddeloh
52%

Winning margin

Preussen Munster wins by 2+
29%
SSV Jeddeloh wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Preussen Munster 1+ goals
92%
Preussen Munster 2+ goals
72%
Preussen Munster 3+ goals
46%
SSV Jeddeloh 1+ goals
88%
SSV Jeddeloh 2+ goals
62%
SSV Jeddeloh 3+ goals
35%

Draw no bet

Preussen Munster (draw refunded)
59%
SSV Jeddeloh (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
76%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Preussen Munster at home — creates 2.83, concedes 1.33 · 6 matches

SSV Jeddeloh away — creates 2.90, concedes 2.30 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Preussen Munster attack 2.83 + SSV Jeddeloh defence 2.30 → ÷2 → 2.56

SSV Jeddeloh attack 2.90 + Preussen Munster defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 2.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Preussen Munster scores more
48%
level
19%
SSV Jeddeloh scores more
33%

Preussen Munster at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Preussen Munster will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Preussen Munster 2–0 SSV Jeddeloh

Preussen Munster beat SSV Jeddeloh 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on August 22, 2020.

The match was played at Preußen-Stadion in Münster.