Scoreo

Power Dynamos vs Rivers UnitedCAF Champions League 2019

Power Dynamos
Power Dynamos
FT
00
HT: 00
Rivers United
Rivers United
1/24/2026CAF Champions LeagueCAF Champions League · Round 3Levy Mwanawasa Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Power Dynamos62%
×Draw28%
Rivers United9%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Power Dynamos
1.33
Rivers United
0.34

Power Dynamos creates 291% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 9 away

creates per match

Power Dynamos
1.00
Rivers United
0.11

allows per match

Power Dynamos
0.57
Rivers United
1.67

finishing

Power Dynamos+0.00on par
Rivers United+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Under
  • Under77
  • Over23

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

79%No
  • No79
  • Yes21

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Power Dynamos

Rivers United
0
1
2
3
4
0
0019%
016%
021%
030%
040%
1
1025%
119%
121%
130%
140%
2
2017%
216%
221%
230%
240%
3
307%
313%
320%
330%
340%
4
402%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (25%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
81%19%1.5
50%50%2.5
23%77%3.5
9%91%4.5
3%97%

Double chance

Power Dynamos or draw
91%
Power Dynamos or Rivers United
72%
Draw or Rivers United
38%

Winning margin

Power Dynamos wins by 2+
31%
Rivers United wins by 2+
1%

Team goals

Power Dynamos 1+ goals
74%
Power Dynamos 2+ goals
38%
Power Dynamos 3+ goals
15%
Rivers United 1+ goals
29%
Rivers United 2+ goals
5%
Rivers United 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

Power Dynamos (draw refunded)
87%
Rivers United (draw refunded)
13%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
13%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Power Dynamos at homecreates 1.00, concedes 0.57 · 7 matches

Rivers United awaycreates 0.11, concedes 1.67 · 9 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Power Dynamos attack 1.00 + Rivers United defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.33

Rivers United attack 0.11 + Power Dynamos defence 0.57 → ÷2 → 0.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Power Dynamos scores more
62%
level
28%
Rivers United scores more
9%

Power Dynamos at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Power Dynamos will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

4
K. ChiboniPower DynamosPower Dynamos · D
8.2

Possession

50%Power

Shots

22Power

Pass accuracy

49%Power

Statistics

PowerRivers
Overview
50%Possession50%
22Total Shots6
2Corners2
15Fouls17
Shots
22Total Shots6
6On Target1
12Off Target2
4Blocked3
12Inside Box2
10Outside Box4
Passing
50%Possession50%
318Total Passes324
220Accurate Passes234
69%Pass Accuracy72%
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
Discipline
15Fouls17
0Yellow Cards2
4Offsides1

Match Recap: Power Dynamos vs Rivers United

Power Dynamos and Rivers United drew 0-0 in CAF Champions League on January 24, 2026.

Power Dynamos controlled possession (50%) and registered 22 shots to 6.

The match was played at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium in Ndola.