Scoreo

Power Dynamos vs Kansanshi DynamosSuper League 2019

Power Dynamos
Power Dynamos
FT
20
HT: 10
Kansanshi Dynamos
Kansanshi Dynamos
11/13/2025Super LeagueSuper League · Round 8Arthur Davies Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 68+ matches

Power Dynamos51%
×Draw30%
Kansanshi Dynamos19%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Power Dynamos
1.24
Kansanshi Dynamos
0.65

Power Dynamos creates 91% more chances

Season form · 110 home / 68 away

creates per match

Power Dynamos
1.38
Kansanshi Dynamos
0.68

allows per match

Power Dynamos
0.62
Kansanshi Dynamos
1.10

finishing

Power Dynamos+0.00on par
Kansanshi Dynamos+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Under
  • Under71
  • Over29

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

66%No
  • No66
  • Yes34

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Power Dynamos

Kansanshi Dynamos
0
1
2
3
4
0
0015%
0110%
023%
031%
040%
1
1019%
1112%
124%
131%
140%
2
2012%
218%
222%
231%
240%
3
305%
313%
321%
330%
340%
4
401%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (19%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
56%44%2.5
29%71%3.5
12%88%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Power Dynamos or draw
81%
Power Dynamos or Kansanshi Dynamos
70%
Draw or Kansanshi Dynamos
49%

Winning margin

Power Dynamos wins by 2+
23%
Kansanshi Dynamos wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Power Dynamos 1+ goals
71%
Power Dynamos 2+ goals
35%
Power Dynamos 3+ goals
13%
Kansanshi Dynamos 1+ goals
48%
Kansanshi Dynamos 2+ goals
14%
Kansanshi Dynamos 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Power Dynamos (draw refunded)
72%
Kansanshi Dynamos (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
22%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Power Dynamos at homecreates 1.38, concedes 0.62 · 110 matches

Kansanshi Dynamos awaycreates 0.68, concedes 1.10 · 68 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Power Dynamos attack 1.38 + Kansanshi Dynamos defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.24

Kansanshi Dynamos attack 0.68 + Power Dynamos defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 0.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Power Dynamos scores more
51%
level
30%
Kansanshi Dynamos scores more
19%

Power Dynamos at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Power Dynamos will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: Power Dynamos 2–0 Kansanshi Dynamos

Power Dynamos beat Kansanshi Dynamos 2-0 in Super League on November 13, 2025.

The match was played at Arthur Davies Stadium in Kitwe.