Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Porz vs Eintracht Hohkeppel — Oberliga - Mittelrhein 2020

Porz
Porz
FT
4 – 2
HT: 2 – 1
Eintracht Hohkeppel
Eintracht Hohkeppel
10/12/2025Oberliga - MittelrheinOberliga - Mittelrhein · Mittelrhein - 7Kunstrasenplatz Brucknerstraße

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 43+ matches

Porz29%
×Draw22%
Eintracht Hohkeppel50%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Porz
1.48
Eintracht Hohkeppel
2.00

Eintracht Hohkeppel creates 35% more chances

Season form · 44 home / 43 away

creates per match

Porz
1.57
Eintracht Hohkeppel
1.91

allows per match

Porz
2.09
Eintracht Hohkeppel
1.40

finishing

Porz+0.00on par
Eintracht Hohkeppel+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Porz ↓

Eintracht Hohkeppel →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–26%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
46%54%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

Porz or draw
50%
Porz or Eintracht Hohkeppel
78%
Draw or Eintracht Hohkeppel
71%

Winning margin

Porz wins by 2+
13%
Eintracht Hohkeppel wins by 2+
28%

Team goals

Porz 1+ goals
77%
Porz 2+ goals
43%
Porz 3+ goals
19%
Eintracht Hohkeppel 1+ goals
86%
Eintracht Hohkeppel 2+ goals
59%
Eintracht Hohkeppel 3+ goals
32%

Draw no bet

Porz (draw refunded)
37%
Eintracht Hohkeppel (draw refunded)
63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Porz at home — creates 1.57, concedes 2.09 · 44 matches

Eintracht Hohkeppel away — creates 1.91, concedes 1.40 · 43 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Porz attack 1.57 + Eintracht Hohkeppel defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.48

Eintracht Hohkeppel attack 1.91 + Porz defence 2.09 → ÷2 → 2.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Porz scores more
29%
level
22%
Eintracht Hohkeppel scores more
50%

Eintracht Hohkeppel at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Eintracht Hohkeppel will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Porz vs Eintracht Hohkeppel

Porz beat Eintracht Hohkeppel 4-2 in Oberliga - Mittelrhein on October 12, 2025.

The match was played at Kunstrasenplatz Brucknerstraße in Köln.