Pors Grenland 0–0 Flekkerøy: Result & Stats

Pors Grenland

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Flekkerøy

6/21/2025

2. Division - Group 1 · Group 1 - 11Pors Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

Pors Grenland45%

×Draw25%

Flekkerøy30%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Pors GrenlandExpected goals in this matchFlekkerøy

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.58

1.24

Pors Grenland

1.58

Flekkerøy

1.24

Pors Grenland creates 27% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 51 away

1.15

creates per match

1.12

1.35

allows per match

2.02

creates per match

Pors Grenland

1.15

Flekkerøy

1.12

allows per match

Pors Grenland

1.35

Flekkerøy

2.02

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Pors Grenland+0.00on par

Flekkerøy+0.00on par

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Pors Grenland ↓

Flekkerøy →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–17%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

31%69%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Pors Grenland or draw

70%

Pors Grenland or Flekkerøy

75%

Draw or Flekkerøy

55%

Winning margin

Pors Grenland wins by 2+

23%

Flekkerøy wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Pors Grenland 1+ goals

79%

Pors Grenland 2+ goals

47%

Pors Grenland 3+ goals

21%

Flekkerøy 1+ goals

71%

Flekkerøy 2+ goals

35%

Flekkerøy 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Pors Grenland (draw refunded)

60%

Flekkerøy (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Pors Grenland at home — creates 1.15, concedes 1.35 · 20 matches

Flekkerøy away — creates 1.12, concedes 2.02 · 51 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Pors Grenland attack 1.15 + Flekkerøy defence 2.02 → ÷2 → 1.58

Flekkerøy attack 1.12 + Pors Grenland defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.24

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Pors Grenland scores more

45%

level

25%

Flekkerøy scores more

30%

Pors Grenland at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Pors Grenland will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

32'

A. Bakeng-Rogne

44'

S. Skifjeld← A. Bjornhaug Remy

57'

L. Eftevaag← D. W. Johnsen

61'

S. Ringsbu

62'

C. Glenna← S. Mladenovic

62'

Kachi← O. Henriksrud

65'

A. Fredriksen← C. Wahlstrom

69'

J. Dahlby

76'

T. Meen← P. Rosvik

76'

O. Johnsen← R. Pllana

90+2'

S. L. Haaland

Pors

Flekkerøy

1

5

17

22

30

6

▼

8

13

3

9

▼

10

1

3

6

16

55

▼

Remy

8

Bakeng-Ro

15

▼

Pllana

23

Giske

10

▼

Mladenovi

26

▼

Henriksru

29

▼

Rosvik

Manager: M. Nilsen

44'▲S. Skifjeld←▼A. Bjornhaug Remy

62'▲C. Glenna←▼S. Mladenovic

62'▲Kachi←▼O. Henriksrud

76'▲T. Meen←▼P. Rosvik

76'▲O. Johnsen←▼R. Pllana

Pors Grenland substitutes

24Vassend7Meen9Johnsen11Salamov14Risnes17Gisa19Glenna20Kachi77Skifjeld

Manager: S. Skeie

57'▲L. Eftevaag←▼D. W. Johnsen

65'▲A. Fredriksen←▼C. Wahlstrom

Flekkerøy substitutes

12RosenvingeOstraat2Sorum4Gravdahl11Nahiry16Arild23Fredriksen25Eftevaag

Match Recap: Pors Grenland vs Flekkerøy

Pors Grenland and Flekkerøy drew 0-0 in 2. Division - Group 1 on June 21, 2025.

The match was played at Pors Stadion in Porsgrunn.

Pors Grenland vs Flekkerøy — 2. Division - Group 1 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Pors Grenland vs Flekkerøy