Pordenone U19 vs Chievo Verona U19 — Campionato Primavera - 2 2020
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 11+ matches
Pordenone U1921%
Chievo Verona U1960%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Chievo Verona U19 creates 72% more chances
Season form · 39 home / 11 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Over75
- Under25
3+ goals likely
Both teams score
- Yes70
- No30
Both teams likely to score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Pordenone U19 ↓
Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Pordenone U19 at home — creates 0.97, concedes 2.31 · 39 matches
Chievo Verona U19 away — creates 2.64, concedes 1.91 · 11 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Pordenone U19 attack 0.97 + Chievo Verona U19 defence 1.91 → ÷2 → 1.44
Chievo Verona U19 attack 2.64 + Pordenone U19 defence 2.31 → ÷2 → 2.48
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 60%?"
Chievo Verona U19 at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 60% does not mean "Chievo Verona U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
Verona U19
Parma U19
Cremonese U19
Brescia U19
Vicenza U19Chievo Verona U19
Udinese U19Pordenone U19
Venezia U19
Monza U19
Reggiana U19
Cittadella U19
Pescara U19
Lecce U19
Napoli U19
Virtus Entella U19
Frosinone U19
Spezia U19
Crotone U19
Cosenza U19
Benevento U19
Pisa U19
Reggina U19
Salernitana U19If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Pordenone U19 host Chievo Verona U19 on Saturday, 13 February 2021 at 13:30. The match is part of the Campionato Primavera - 2 2020/2021 season.
Match Recap: Pordenone U19 vs Chievo Verona U19
Chievo Verona U19 beat Pordenone U19 2-1 in Campionato Primavera - 2 on February 13, 2021.
The match was played at Stadio Ottavio Bottecchia in Pordenone.