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Politehnica Iasi vs CSM FC Vaslui — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Politehnica Iasi
Politehnica Iasi
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
CSM FC Vaslui
CSM FC Vaslui
D. Ghindovean 53'
K. Ofori 40'
Unknown 69'
1/28/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Politehnica Iasi43%
×Draw19%
CSM FC Vaslui38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Politehnica Iasi
2.38
CSM FC Vaslui
2.25

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 4 home / 4 away

creates per match

Politehnica Iasi
3.25
CSM FC Vaslui
2.25

allows per match

Politehnica Iasi
2.25
CSM FC Vaslui
1.50

finishing

Politehnica Iasi+0.00on par
CSM FC Vaslui+0.00on par

Total goals

84%Over
  • Over84
  • Under16

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

81%Yes
  • Yes81
  • No19

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Politehnica Iasi ↓

CSM FC Vaslui →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–02%
1–15%
1–26%
1–34%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–13%
4–23%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 2–2 (7%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
84%16%3.5
67%33%4.5
48%52%

Double chance

Politehnica Iasi or draw
62%
Politehnica Iasi or CSM FC Vaslui
81%
Draw or CSM FC Vaslui
57%

Winning margin

Politehnica Iasi wins by 2+
25%
CSM FC Vaslui wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Politehnica Iasi 1+ goals
91%
Politehnica Iasi 2+ goals
68%
Politehnica Iasi 3+ goals
42%
CSM FC Vaslui 1+ goals
89%
CSM FC Vaslui 2+ goals
65%
CSM FC Vaslui 3+ goals
39%

Draw no bet

Politehnica Iasi (draw refunded)
53%
CSM FC Vaslui (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
76%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Politehnica Iasi at home — creates 3.25, concedes 2.25 · 4 matches

CSM FC Vaslui away — creates 2.25, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Politehnica Iasi attack 3.25 + CSM FC Vaslui defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 2.38

CSM FC Vaslui attack 2.25 + Politehnica Iasi defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 2.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Politehnica Iasi scores more
43%
level
19%
CSM FC Vaslui scores more
38%

Politehnica Iasi at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Politehnica Iasi will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

40'
K. Ofori
53'
D. Ghindovean
69'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Politehnica Iasi vs CSM FC Vaslui

Politehnica Iasi beat CSM FC Vaslui 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 28, 2026.

Goals: K. Ofori (40'), D. Ghindovean (53'), ? (69').