POHU 4–4 EBK: Result & Stats | Suomen Cup

POHU

Pens

4 – 4

HT: 2 – 1

EBK

J. Rahkola 76'

E. Souris 70', 35'

J. Pirttiniemi 11'

V. Rashica 90'

S. Fofana 90'

Unknown 79' (OG)

R. Karaca 1'

5/5/2026

Suomen Cup · Round of 64Keski-Espoon urheilukeskus

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

POHU2%

×Draw5%

EBK93%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

POHUExpected goals in this matchEBK

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.60

4.25

POHU

0.60

EBK

4.25

EBK creates 608% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 5 away

0.00

creates per match

4.00

4.50

allows per match

1.20

creates per match

POHU

0.00

EBK

4.00

allows per match

POHU

4.50

EBK

1.20

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

POHU+0.00on par

EBK+0.00on par

Total goals

Over84
Under16

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

POHU ↓

EBK →

0–01%

0–14%

0–28%

0–312%

0–412%

1–01%

1–12%

1–25%

1–37%

1–47%

2–00%

2–11%

2–21%

2–32%

2–42%

3–00%

3–10%

3–20%

3–30%

3–40%

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–3 (12%) · grid covers 67% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

95%5%2.5

84%16%3.5

67%33%4.5

46%54%

Double chance

POHU or draw

POHU or EBK

95%

Draw or EBK

98%

Winning margin

POHU wins by 2+

EBK wins by 2+

81%

Team goals

POHU 1+ goals

45%

POHU 2+ goals

12%

POHU 3+ goals

EBK 1+ goals

98%

EBK 2+ goals

91%

EBK 3+ goals

76%

Draw no bet

POHU (draw refunded)

EBK (draw refunded)

98%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

POHU at home — creates 0.00, concedes 4.50 · 4 matches

EBK away — creates 4.00, concedes 1.20 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

POHU attack 0.00 + EBK defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 0.60

EBK attack 4.00 + POHU defence 4.50 → ÷2 → 4.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 93%?"

POHU scores more

level

EBK scores more

93%

EBK at 93% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 93% does not mean "EBK will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

R. Karaca

11'

J. Pirttiniemi

35'

E. Souris

54'

V. Rashica← M. Hakkinen

55'

T. Lahti← J. Pirttiniemi

59'

65'

69'

70'

73'

76'

77'

C. Frankenhaeuser← A. Sfishta

79'

Own goal

81'

O. Mayry← J. Rahkola

84'

R. Parhiala← E. Souris

90'

V. Rashica

90'

S. Fofana

POHU

EBK

▼

▼

▼

⚽

⚽

⚽2

▼

Souris

Sahiti

⚽

▼

Pirttinie

⚽

▼

55'▲T. Lahti←▼J. Pirttiniemi

81'▲O. Mayry←▼J. Rahkola

84'▲R. Parhiala←▼E. Souris

POHU substitutes

17Haggman26Lahti51Mayry53Nirkkonen88Parhiala99Paldanius

54'▲V. Rashica←▼M. Hakkinen

73'▲A. Pllana←▼M. Amehri

77'▲C. Frankenhaeuser←▼A. Sfishta

EBK substitutes

96Kivela2Frankenhaeuser11Rashica14Karlsson16Pllana17Mohammad

Suomen Cup: POHU 4–4 EBK

POHU and EBK drew 4-4 in Suomen Cup on May 5, 2026.

Goals: R. Karaca (1'), J. Pirttiniemi (11'), E. Souris (35', 70'), J. Rahkola (76'), ? (79' o.g.), V. Rashica (90'), S. Fofana (90').

The match was played at Keski-Espoon urheilukeskus.

POHU vs EBK — Suomen Cup 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Suomen Cup: POHU 4–4 EBK